Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb93c1f6c0f2bb79db596399bef2d5cd2f0f8291c04b71954d92e23775c552c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 5,924$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.06 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 54c | 2,643$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 46c | 1,514$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.78 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Yes | 54c | 921.02$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes | 54c | 843.69$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 46c | 589.49$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.49 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 55c | 542.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.27 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 46c | 514.35$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 54c | 490.4$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 54c | 423.77$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.83 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 55c | 365.31$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.92 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 53c | 319.97$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.32 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 311.55$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 37c | 291.59$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 57c | 240$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f5…e4dabacked No | 47c | 223.4$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 47c | 217.82$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 54c | 216.67$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cb…76fcbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 44c | 175.46$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.22 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…c48dbacked Yes | 54c | 166.85$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes | 54c | 146.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x600f…4392backed Yes | 54c | 116.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Yes | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Yes | 56c | 88.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Yes | 54c | 72.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 54c | 71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 46c | 58.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bb…a884backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 48c | 53.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce0…5fcabacked Yes | 54c | 42.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e40…c89dbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c81…eda9backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…1437backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x126d…f863backed No | 47c | 35.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 54c | 35.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…c57bbacked Yes | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ae…64f1backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 51c | 23.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…2286backed Yes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…3715backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)AC Milan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.