Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a5ffdf4c8fb9b39d103e7eb7c415fcc0ad2b865d46c06d61325df1b565807b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 4,500$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.21 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…4ebebacked Over | 45c | 4,200$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…cdb0backed Under | 56c | 3,961$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 1,477$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.69 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 47c | 1,138$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…28d5backed Over | 47c | 401.51$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Over | 47c | 340.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 40c | 275.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.07 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…fd20backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 47c | 212.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 46c | 211.91$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 45c | 209.09$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.09 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 52c | 208.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 43c | 199.92$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…9a1abacked Over | 47c | 193.62$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 47c | 126.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 51c | 121.84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Over | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 39c | 96.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Under | 62c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 47c | 78.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf460…e5aabacked Under | 55c | 77.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 33c | 75.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Over | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Over | 28c | 70.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 46c | 66.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce0…5fcabacked Over | 46c | 65.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…79cbbacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…3886backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 47c | 55.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 54.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0981…eac2backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…bdf6backed Over | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -57%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06ba…45bdbacked Under | 59c | 45.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e91…f0ebbacked Over | 46c | 43.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a09…4a9ebacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 46c | 42.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Over | 45c | 39.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 45c | 39.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727a…aa0cbacked Over | 47c | 38.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e48…d263backed Under | 54c | 38.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…3086backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…a54cbacked Over | 46c | 32.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fb4cbacked Under | 55c | 31.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 53c | 26.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d58…cd11backed Over | 47c | 25.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Over | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)AC Milan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.