TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,637,799
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,679,623

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,637,799 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 766 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c8c…2d14backed No56c1,031,920$578,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578,774.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes45c277,494$123,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,820.7758248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes44c199,820$87,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,196.441,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes44c125,665$55,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,151.916144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes43c106,887$46,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,564.0946048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked No54c105,367$56,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,898.22850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Yes43c87,719$37,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,999.831361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes44c73,391$32,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,077.328543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes46c53,868$24,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,343.4338043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes44c37,776$16,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,018.7159741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes43c32,370$14,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,301.4433851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes45c22,413$10,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,293.663346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No53c21,115$11,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,190.924346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No53c20,060$10,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,673.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes43c19,073$8,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,782.452951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes45c18,010$8,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,845.549348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes46c16,034$7,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,723.163839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Yes44c15,436$6,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,584.1610845.4%49 W · 59 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes45c13,434$6,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,416.2626645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Yes45c12,980$5,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,1393237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes44c11,686$5,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,540.896251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Yes46c10,565$4,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,705.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.983545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No54c9,961$5,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,379.1613151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Yes45c8,414$3,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,624.741353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes44c8,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5005438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+62.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes45c7,970$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,369.9529350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed No56c7,929$4,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,404.332458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No55c7,600$4,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1805545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Yes47c7,500$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0002458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes44c6,800$2,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,811.5122147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes43c6,000$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,42018160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes47c5,806$2,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,097.4129846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Yes45c5,500$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0355350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x769c…5c05backed Yes46c5,234$2,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,836.871250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9711218.8%21 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No55c4,912$2,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,701.566344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes45c4,593$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,525.935448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes45c4,435$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,458.666259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yes46c4,400$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3761457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.832040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Yes46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.831154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b3…8a22backed Yes46c4,296$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,303.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No57c4,271$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,434.478647.7%41 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes45c4,054$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230.3519755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Yes46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1601338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked No56c3,942$2,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,208.89149.5%45 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes45c3,900$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,144.998151.9%42 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes45c3,897$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.7530657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Yes47c3,500$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8551241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes47c3,500$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85512848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No39c3,460$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.4139743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes44c3,338$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.3413149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes45c3,273$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.6735860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes46c3,261$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.878543.5%37 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes45c3,100$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.997844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No57c3,056$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.033737.8%14 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes46c3,043$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.485843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6805550.9%28 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes43c3,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72016349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No34c2,577$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.834342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No55c2,500$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3754045%18 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes72c2,464$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.922425%6 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4586…c4bebacked Yes76c2,440$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Yes45c2,367$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.58862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8469…f3aebacked Yes44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.73119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-79.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef04…9ef0backed Yes42c2,264$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+136.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880e…54edbacked Yes47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Yes46c2,011$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.872060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8758…01e0backed No54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-69.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes15c2,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7002825%7 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No55c1,991$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10015252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes45c1,990$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.1936851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9519…c397backed No54c1,856$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.76742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf861…b42ebacked Yes78c1,823$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+37.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Yes43c1,771$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85524327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa524…1252backed Yes47c1,447$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.81650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes35c1,408$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.934440.9%18 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x396c…4498backed Yes46c1,400$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198c…7328backed Yes46c1,400$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+106%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Yes41c1,400$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8263971.8%28 W · 11 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+33%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc739…b6c3backed Yes46c1,400$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No53c1,338$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.1420948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed Yes45c1,334$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.692236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No53c1,260$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.83647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Yes43c1,242$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.822755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+46.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes40c1,238$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.73450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes44c1,216$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.916225.8%16 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes41c1,200$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.994450%22 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Yes46c1,089$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.91729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-42.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked Yes46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.962147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+64.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Yes46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.961947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9985…a45cbacked Yes46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.961145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes44c1,016$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.923637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57039842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56013644.1%60 W · 76 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55011737.6%44 W · 73 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5903759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked Yes47c999$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.24742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.