TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will SSC Napoli vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,526
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,229

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,526 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes29c18,630$5,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,447.431,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c11,095$2,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,986.2759741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70013151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35014953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No66c4,917$3,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.2258248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c3,304$2,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.4963346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81010748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed No56c2,839$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.992268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes50c2,329$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.1546048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No73c2,268$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.363647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No73c1,400$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.9920948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes33c1,373$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.831,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes28c1,214$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3406225.8%16 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa524…1252backed Yes28c1,143$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes26c1,039$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6429136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No73c800$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21614447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c787.15$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.533851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes30c786.81$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.892445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes27c738.37$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.015115.7%8 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed No72c599.99$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No72c555$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.45335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No72c518.77$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.2620644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No53c475.66$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.2160136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes45c468$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.620947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x741a…4dbebacked Yes26c460$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.61921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No73c450$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.538356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No73c450$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.521354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No73c450$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.516753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No54c440$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.410660.4%64 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes28c432.94$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9912644.4%56 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes23c421.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984216.7%7 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe49…9c28backed No73c413.68$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.691478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes27c408.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3113149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes28c407$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.968647.7%41 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085923.7%14 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10844955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10815657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No74c384.61$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No73c360$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.217855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No73c355$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8529846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No73c350$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.517251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No73c340.59$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9626645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes7c331.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24140%0 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes25c305$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.494440.9%18 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8112748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8111152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8128357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8113552.6%71 W · 64 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes49c294$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.743953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Yes21c289.52$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.436817.6%12 W · 56 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No74c274.65$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4123637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No55c263.76$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.198971.9%64 W · 25 L+12.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+29.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes13c263.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352450%12 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No73c250$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.546956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No69c245.52$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7934342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes26c230.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605135.3%18 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9953…4fa0backed Yes28c216.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…05bcbacked Yes19c208.94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549644.8%43 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5418754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab6f…067bbacked Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66100%0 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes33c199.97$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.999546.3%44 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes30c195$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5520643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes26c194.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.79540%38 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b79…d63fbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No73c190$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.313252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508224.4%20 W · 62 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick20cpaid+162.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes51c175$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.251963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No73c170$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.911548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No73c170$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.913352.6%70 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No73c170$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.914352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No73c170$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.910949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No73c170$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.911449.1%56 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No73c170$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.913548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No73c170$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.913751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No73c170$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.916251.2%83 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No73c160$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.215651.3%80 W · 76 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fba…92e7backed Yes21c160$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7881…5c15backed Yes26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402020%4 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-50.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.518350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.514247.2%67 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb92f…566bbacked Yes23c139.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+58.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes28c133$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0638043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No74c130$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.86659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+50.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Yes27c128.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.686952.2%36 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38d0…899bbacked Yes49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes13c120$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.411747%55 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.411648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.412652.4%66 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.411650.9%59 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.411850%59 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No76c115.19$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.096943.5%30 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.