Champions League · resolved market
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaba39e1c5ea2052147dc68e554eb0d08536357e3553c1b54fd52da4a0045c689
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 2,396$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.73 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 64c | 2,393$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.71 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 36c | 1,780$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.13 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 64c | 1,025$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.82 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 36c | 999.97$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 36c | 724$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.9 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 64c | 499.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 64c | 453.2$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.15 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 36c | 443.96$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.82 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 35c | 443.09$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.01 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…aefcbacked Yes | 65c | 253.28$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 236.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 38c | 223.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked No | 36c | 219.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed No | 30c | 204.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…9705backed Yes | 65c | 190.57$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…c990backed Yes | 64c | 157.81$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 64c | 156.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 72c | 156.1$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5344…c194backed Yes | 65c | 139.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc69…34cabacked Yes | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked Yes | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked No | 39c | 112.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 63c | 87.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 38c | 84.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…f434backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 66c | 76.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…14d2backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes | 64c | 63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…14c0backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…5a5ebacked Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…deaabacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 36c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3179…3d2abacked Yes | 63c | 33.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…d5e9backed Yes | 64c | 32.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced5…71c2backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x241c…5407backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…c95cbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3802…d623backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…e338backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…427fbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…92babacked Yes | 64c | 29.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b1…7d09backed Yes | 63c | 26.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Yes | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 64c | 24.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 62c | 24.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2f…420ebacked Yes | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce5…8e89backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08de…a0fdbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.