Champions League · resolved market
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x444c9169c410ae8c6874865b1a81fec18e0547a5e0f3ffbac3c9e020557d138c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 40c | 5,402$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.16 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…9df5backed Over | 62c | 2,288$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 38c | 1,542$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.79 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 1,134$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.27 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 62c | 1,096$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.53 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 39c | 999.95$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.98 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 998.33$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.39 | 1,596 | 39.8%636 W · 960 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 62c | 874.13$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.17 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Over | 60c | 866.91$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.91 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 866.16$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.22 | 2,101 | 43.6%917 W · 1,184 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 58c | 515.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.51 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 39c | 443.96$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.15 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Over | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 60c | 330.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.6 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 39c | 298.36$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Under | 29c | 279.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…7661backed Under | 41c | 236.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 40c | 185$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a5…4024backed Over | 61c | 183.75$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 72c | 175.56$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 58c | 170.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Over | 58c | 166.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…d007backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab8…c3b0backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d3…4255backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Under | 31c | 149.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908e…2291backed Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 71c | 118.25$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…c63bbacked Over | 60c | 116$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb6…b350backed Over | 61c | 82.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Over | 62c | 81.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Over | 60c | 74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Under | 39c | 69.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Over | 62c | 69.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 44c | 69.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Over | 61c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Over | 60c | 58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Over | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Over | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 71c | 49.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9f…c2a6backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 206 | 56.8%117 W · 89 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 58c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Over | 60c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 36.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 42c | 36.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 70c | 35.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…599bbacked Over | 57c | 35.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 39c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -10.8wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcca…da80backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 58c | 31.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ed…b35abacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4e…3725backed Over | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855b…8dd0backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…cefebacked Over | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…0c28backed Over | 60c | 19.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…eb14backed Over | 59c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.