TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x134c…427f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST2142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Fulham vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11.28
Will West Ham win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$17.14
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+244.8%+$97.93
Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Everton win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+257.1%+$72
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will Brighton win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+163.2%+$48.95
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid+19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+244.8%+$48.97
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will PSV win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+900%+$180
Sporting CP vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30.86
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$69.67
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+300%+$60
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$99.67
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
SSC Napoli vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-58.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+37%+$27
Will Israel win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+44.9%+$25.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.