Champions League · resolved market
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0aa48026b46e2baa2ef6b4ece5f4ba2d3108821081b7989f9b465d42c8ef212
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 38c | 870.4$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.43 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 35c | 734.87$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.29 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 38c | 650$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed No | 64c | 538.29$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.02 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 62c | 518$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.84 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed No | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 41c | 350$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked No | 64c | 346.95$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked No | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 66c | 282.97$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.21 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 59c | 242.76$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked No | 75c | 240$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 38c | 236.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 39c | 137$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed No | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fb…920cbacked No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…8fc8backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…2687backed Yes | 40c | 74.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…c6cebacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked No | 60c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf8…69abbacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7684…6bcdbacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d27…4f3cbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…9f7ebacked No | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a95…bb94backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…427fbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8427…440dbacked No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…a812backed No | 71c | 18.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f5…389abacked No | 66c | 16.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.