Champions League · resolved market
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98fec4ac725d3f6daa5f33492a22d4f387bd4d291498e7385c891f41a8391832
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1866…f0fbbacked Under | 47c | 13,689$6,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,396.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 53c | 9,485$5,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,457.89 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 6,128$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.54 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Under | 43c | 3,489$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Under | 43c | 3,259$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.52 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…1fc6backed Over | 57c | 3,049$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Over | 58c | 2,499$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.58 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…e042backed Over | 42c | 2,000$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Over | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Over | 56c | 898$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 43c | 855.5$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.77 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 44c | 813.99$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.16 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Over | 56c | 737$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked Over | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 56c | 607.14$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.14 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 56c | 562.61$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.67 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 42c | 562.24$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.14 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Under | 44c | 517.12$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 58c | 515.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…d8cabacked Over | 56c | 506.63$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 42c | 438.53$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.18 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 24c | 411.71$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 67c | 332$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.44 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 57c | 319.54$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.54 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcae…3e14backed Under | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Over | 55c | 250$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…0c8abacked Over | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b42…7a05backed Over | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Over | 57c | 220.08$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.08 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3357…42fabacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7892…ae83backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc997…a1f0backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0740…df2fbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 57c | 168.6$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2791backed Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Under | 45c | 111.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Over | 57c | 103.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 47c | 89.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…6344backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 58c | 85.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1973…9fb5backed Over | 58c | 70.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Under | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd510…0be5backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Over | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…e084backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 57c | 57.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2f…7fd0backed Over | 57c | 53.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d7…8b82backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…713cbacked Over | 58c | 46.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 57c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…4799backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…f546backed Over | 47c | 42.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0647…da66backed Under | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…1bc4backed Under | 45c | 37.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Over | 57c | 35.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3d…25acbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe6…c7a1backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…e313backed Under | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fd…41c1backed Under | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…09f2backed Over | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5this page
- SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.