TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Fulham vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,742
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,742 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c21,327$8,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,587.776,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x07b7…00a0backed Over65c19,049$12,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,754.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under37c5,558$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.461,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over49c4,381$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.511,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under37c4,195$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.144,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Over45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.3312345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under62c3,331$2,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,053.452,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over62c3,065$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.74158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Under53c2,830$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under41c1,770$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.9140150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under49c1,720$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.121,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80019826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Over49c1,592$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.831861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under52c1,444$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.6239156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Over79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.8210768.2%73 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f8…09f7backed Over35c1,049$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Over49c1,010$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.184528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51021656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Over49c965.31$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.313221.9%7 W · 25 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-53.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under51c499.97$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9821839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over31c484.51$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.3110956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under53c443.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.3121548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under50c331$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.515952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under54c323.5$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.182,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over79c322.78$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7842240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under55c303.31$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6558445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over61c300$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11811142.3%47 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x250e…b699backed Over48c299.98$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.99944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd0…07a9backed Under52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed Over50c287$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.57035.7%25 W · 45 L-10.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c281.66$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.151,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf70a…541dbacked Under22c272.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+51.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Over74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.274639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over47c263.83$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8349544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x833a…5d74backed Under37c220.27$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.51346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over49c210.78$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.514252.8%75 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Over78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447062.9%44 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Under39c194.94$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3213941%57 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006838.2%26 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.445729.8%17 W · 40 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Under31c172.57$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.722040.5%89 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Under52c171.36$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.11862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7818646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbee4…152cbacked Over77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over49c144.88$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.894656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Over71c141.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.035752.6%30 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under41c130.04$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4757744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.79958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2b6…032cbacked Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.382040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba6c…5cb6backed Over49c102.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.422245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over54c102.08$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0819259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3279…a922backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5111448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under51c99.29$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.651,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x276f…bfb5backed Over52c97.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.085549.1%27 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over42c95.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9335743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over65c93.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0918059.4%107 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over55c91.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.648259.8%49 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over57c87.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8920644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Over47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1110342.7%44 W · 59 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cb3…79a4backed Over47c80.85$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.851643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0645…6fd6backed Over52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.921266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Under53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f43…1754backed Under54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.9wins-0.31per pick62cpaid-51.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf28e…cbf8backed Over52c73.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.254100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x482b…6455backed Under54c70.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384136.6%15 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Under52c70.06$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.439037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.123741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd4…ea9abacked Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Over76c55$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.24682.6%38 W · 8 L+9.4wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+41.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Under56c54.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0710539%41 W · 64 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under48c54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0651542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Under56c53.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Under38c52.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9313249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.086245.2%28 W · 34 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under42c51.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5825949.4%128 W · 131 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x134c…427fbacked Over78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.282142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a4…f169backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Under50c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed Over49c44.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.95954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67bc…4d94backed Under54c44.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a1…1c72backed Over69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.482740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over40c42.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6189152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2512748.8%62 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x339a…6a00backed Over48c41.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.913860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d4c…57acbacked Over49c41.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.02875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4828246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df8…475cbacked Over31c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.61776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+37.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e20…ac93backed Over37c37.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.841861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe16d…89c3backed Under44c35.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over63c35.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0219244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd323…64acbacked Over51c30.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.232259.1%13 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc6e…02cfbacked Over66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+73.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154864.6%31 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Over78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.65651.8%29 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under52c29.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2430554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Under55c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.458563.5%54 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.