Premier League · resolved market
Fulham vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x424dbf4c9ccbcfed6458af04c89ec5595eb01ab676e0f284577efd6bc7019cbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 12,033$9,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.41 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 25c | 10,007$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.82 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Under | 60c | 5,236$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.08 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 24c | 4,362$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.69 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 24c | 3,999$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.86 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 74c | 3,199$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.74 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 74c | 1,149$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.65 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 78c | 1,061$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.69 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 73c | 899.99$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 893.7$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.68 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under | 63c | 800$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 72c | 606.31$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.64 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 67c | 534.12$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.48 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 75c | 444$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 25c | 444$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…6cc9backed Over | 38c | 378.34$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.77 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf70a…541dbacked Over | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…7b19backed Under | 75c | 212$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 73c | 190$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Over | 39c | 154.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over | 40c | 145.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 38c | 118.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Under | 74c | 118$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 26c | 118$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Under | 62c | 112.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Over | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…48bbbacked Over | 28c | 63.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Over | 25c | 59.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…947dbacked Over | 30c | 55.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 75c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…beb8backed Over | 27c | 51.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a4…f169backed Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…50d3backed Under | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…e546backed Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 78c | 24.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f7…b2e9backed Under | 63c | 20.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 55c | 20.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Over | 74c | 18.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…43b6backed Under | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 76c | 16.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a8…64d2backed Under | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 3.5this page
- Fulham vs. Crystal Palace: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fulham vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Fulham (-1.5)Crystal Palace won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.