Premier League · resolved market
Fulham vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ac1a5be02c30a47bc4ccabb6586d3f81faadd4ec74425e1fedb52aa63e81a92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b7…00a0backed Over | 72c | 21,049$15,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,956.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 20,691$4,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,891.33 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 26c | 5,399$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.73 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 75c | 5,348$4,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 26c | 3,682$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.94 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 75c | 1,743$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.49 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 28c | 1,275$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.06 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 1,004$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.38 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 587.99$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 27c | 443.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 27c | 403.54$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Under | 27c | 203.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…97f5backed Over | 73c | 186.3$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 73c | 150.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 74cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 24c | 124.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…0c5cbacked Under | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 72c | 76.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Under | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…7b19backed Over | 75c | 66.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 26c | 57.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ee…cc59backed Over | 73c | 56.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Over | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 26c | 38.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 68c | 35.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…98b6backed Over | 73c | 29.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…aa94backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Over | 73c | 25.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Over | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 1.5this page
- Fulham vs. Crystal Palace: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fulham vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham (-1.5)Crystal Palace won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.