TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,027 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf209…97e1backed Yes20c27,887$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,500425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes13c8,073$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes22c4,593$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-67.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No80c3,885$3,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.113,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No79c3,752$2,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.662,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes21c3,050$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.526022.3%58 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes19c2,719$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5204235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes18c2,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.76156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick25cpaid-76.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes20c2,492$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4903630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40020050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff9…bdc5backed Yes18c1,874$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.05425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de9…d669backed Yes24c1,644$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f84…dd89backed Yes19c1,316$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No80c1,253$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.55650%28 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes19c1,049$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.813327.8%37 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No77c886.86$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.3720042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No80c677$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.46949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No78c641.64$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5312247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes18c610.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…686cbacked Yes17c582.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed Yes19c567.41$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes22c566.08$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2119736%71 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Yes23c530$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.97533.3%25 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes21c518$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.784254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked No79c506.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.33933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003464.7%22 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010452.9%55 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb483…1c3cbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes23c499.43$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8719027.4%52 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes22c487$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6414740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes17c451.12$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.692839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89de…9bc9backed Yes20c355.01$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.24100%0 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes20c299.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.982240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes16c297.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5321925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaef…a883backed Yes20c283.34$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.672222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506323.8%15 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010761.7%66 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes19c260.32$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.463132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes17c205.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-56.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes25c200.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402425%6 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-60.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No79c154.32$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7374155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes20c145.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0842844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes18c140$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.24537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes23c130.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No80c118.75$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.75560%3 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick79cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97b…a5c4backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad85…ed5bbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ca…f5d0backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5399…fab2backed Yes20c100.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x134c…427fbacked Yes20c100.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192114.3%3 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-53.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d94…5d78backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeee…a4a9backed No79c99.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e3febacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d27…4f3cbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Yes20c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-71.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c99…2c2abacked Yes20c80.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.17425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb89a…033bbacked Yes19c80.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd611…63fcbacked No80c75.75$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.154100%4 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No80c72$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.424655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0413…9275backed Yes19c68.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes20c61.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.052412.5%3 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3513…c19dbacked No80c54.75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c9…7708backed Yes19c53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0730%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x646c…3210backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1037926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab6…50f1backed No80c41$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No80c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.612948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dc2…4837backed No79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d3…432abacked No80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed No79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.31968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No80c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.614252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb82…ef9bbacked No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…c33fbacked No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb757…aaa2backed No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.53100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.