TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-11-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$250,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,604 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes58c40,000$23,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,799.9821237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Yes64c30,577$19,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,155.191346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No42c21,907$9,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,201.19265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked No40c16,623$6,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,632.411145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No40c12,995$5,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,197.973444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No39c11,908$4,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,683.3915151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No35c11,341$3,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,970.3924557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8366…21ebbacked Yes59c7,037$4,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,875.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No42c6,038$2,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,535.874854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c5,902$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.882,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes61c3,840$2,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.52161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No51c3,693$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.412737%10 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb070…96f7backed No42c2,900$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No16c2,749$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.2412247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes58c2,555$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.67848.7%38 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No38c2,526$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.3120050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf0a…8ca0backed Yes58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0502100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+97.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed No41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes57c1,827$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.733740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes61c1,780$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6993,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.93046.7%14 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes74c1,481$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.0515376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No38c1,400$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.9813327.8%37 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dff…5431backed Yes62c1,178$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes58c1,070$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.43237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed No39c1,000$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No36c972$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.925650%28 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No36c911.5$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.164254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No5c875.85$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.795841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes49c875.16$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.6742844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No40c757.99$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.8215846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No41c700$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2876949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes61c619.16$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.47450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Yes59c605.08$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.08650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Yes53c584.91$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.911315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.28per pick43cpaid-74%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ea2…a465backed Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No43c466.53$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.613770.3%26 W · 11 L+6.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+30.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8e9a…5b99backed Yes62c406.9$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.53450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd7e…1d5abacked Yes61c406.08$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ec…6933backed Yes60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1723956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No42c373.66$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.724655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No41c366.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.184850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a0f…921cbacked Yes61c352.98$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes56c348$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.1414740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No39c299.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11710332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.58456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.56650%33 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No48c249$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5220042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No46c206$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.427533.3%25 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43ac…86d0backed Yes79c200.48$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed No42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842850%14 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes57c187.72$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.721020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…27b1backed Yes54c183.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad9…65d7backed No39c172.64$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4923…3094backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes59c169.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.893259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes60c165.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.982839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce51…198cbacked Yes61c161.62$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.03450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed No43c140$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.22339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8821…3914backed No50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601010%1 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick40cpaid-82.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb5b…0037backed Yes58c109.47$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422114.3%3 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-53.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424522.2%10 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-49.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422425%6 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed No46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+81.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked No41c99.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked No42c99.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.982821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-60.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x644b…0007backed Yes61c90.16$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No41c90$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2514252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No41c90$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2512948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf0…ce7cbacked Yes61c87.36$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4a1…4799backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Yes61c84.64$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.011866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No23c82.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2810143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.976352.4%33 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f7…3bcebacked Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x154c…658ebacked No22c76.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.751145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed No40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302227.3%6 W · 16 L-5.7wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-47.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed No43c74.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No40c74.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.338953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No43c74$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.498444%37 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No43c74$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.498046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b52…011dbacked No40c71.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Yes58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0f6…b90cbacked Yes61c66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…49aabacked Yes62c64.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.993100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd561…be29backed Yes62c63.05$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No44c63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7218145.9%83 W · 98 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked No43c58.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.154537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1761…502abacked Yes58c57.83$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.292040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x695a…d3d6backed Yes61c57.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.381957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe977…fcd8backed Yes58c56.9$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No42c55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.219037.8%34 W · 56 L-12.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No43c52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1623757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.