Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e777a5acef8efea0f88f110d0166a4ff4b47fa556aacedf959fc341776e8f20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 79c | 2,435$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.68 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 24c | 2,063$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 1,481$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.37 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 79c | 1,317$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.85 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de9…d669backed Yes | 8c | 648.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 24c | 425.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 24c | 400$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.27 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 394.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 254.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 22c | 246.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.33 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 76c | 190$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1474…3454backed Yes | 23c | 114.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 22c | 99.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes | 25c | 88.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes | 30c | 87.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…60a7backed Yes | 24c | 83.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 76c | 76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…bd7fbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…d958backed No | 78c | 47.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 78c | 47.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 70cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 77c | 46.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…70febacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf47e…5031backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 77c | 18.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?this page
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-06?No won
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-11-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.