Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3919e9f47368bf0451a461a07d0a82454405076c77ae1fd16fb007ae65ff1fb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 26c | 40,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,399.99 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 9,662$5,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,718.06 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 60c | 7,772$4,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108.84 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 60c | 1,212$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.91 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked No | 40c | 650$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 27c | 578.4$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.5 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 488$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.4 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 4c | 434.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 350.48$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.34 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 27c | 334.14$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.29 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 16c | 322.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 73c | 314$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 50c | 201.39$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 72c | 167.57$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.65 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…0579backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 44c | 126.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 73c | 106.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 87.29$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…c87fbacked No | 23c | 85.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…e336backed Yes | 60c | 84.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 26c | 76.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 72c | 74.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 73c | 74.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…427fbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 71c | 64.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 29c | 64.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…a852backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…1c2dbacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42f5…4183backed Yes | 58c | 28.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 70c | 20.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 61c | 16.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 72c | 15.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Yes | 72c | 14.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-13?No won
- Will Leicester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.