Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe61c4df40021bd575815b4089eb9c032bc45e7a0954b17fe68dd355f534f4c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,200 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 56c | 14,689$8,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,463.34 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked No | 55c | 10,479$5,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,716.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 5,840$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.6 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 4,643$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.41 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 3,932$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.42 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 45c | 2,600$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 15c | 1,249$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.35 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes | 6c | 875$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 62c | 608.18$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.35 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 44c | 590$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.62 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 56c | 538$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.72 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…fe30backed Yes | 44c | 481.48$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Yes | 34c | 353.47$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 56c | 307.15$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.02 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 44c | 280$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.94 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 45c | 195$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 56c | 165.75$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 56c | 114.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 44c | 112.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 43c | 89.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…28b4backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…0e91backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 56c | 51.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 73c | 35.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…6a01backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Leicester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-12-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.