Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0748437be1fb6e81ace417669a129843dd9cdc9c066eafaacca401b176b50b61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc919…a162backed No | 30c | 19,003$5,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,679.79 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 9,467$6,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,837.99 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 62c | 7,912$4,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.26 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 75c | 5,290$3,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,965.43 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 25c | 4,997$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,748.11 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 24c | 3,483$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.16 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 35c | 3,253$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.51 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 3,100$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 74c | 2,673$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.75 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed No | 75c | 2,275$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 25c | 2,232$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…ee73backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.98 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 26c | 1,900$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.9 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 75c | 1,698$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.43 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…9012backed Yes | 68c | 1,606$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.05 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 32c | 1,539$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.85 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.99 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Yes | 64c | 1,259$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 24c | 1,249$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.24 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 74c | 1,200$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 23c | 1,100$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…183ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…4c78backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 71c | 995.4$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.63 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 945.18$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.49 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked No | 75c | 919$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 69c | 806.01$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.47 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 24c | 800$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 24c | 790.33$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.65 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed No | 77c | 779.22$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 24c | 722$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.82 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a0…2698backed Yes | 73c | 700$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 75c | 677$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.75 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 25c | 669.09$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.23 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 78c | 530.99$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.64 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 69c | 515.27$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.29 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Yes | 63c | 505.25$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ae…bbbabacked Yes | 79c | 500.53$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebb…1465backed Yes | 25c | 441.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes | 24c | 416.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.17 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e8…1969backed Yes | 25c | 400.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…c9f0backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x209c…efc4backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fd…7174backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +203.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a1…ee3dbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 76c | 390.95$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.12 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 74c | 300.78$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.59 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…23dcbacked Yes | 24c | 300.13$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.26 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +85%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…bb86backed Yes | 24c | 299.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.99 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 22c | 291.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 25c | 280$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.35 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6252…495dbacked Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 31c | 270.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad9…65d7backed No | 76c | 270.78$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked No | 74c | 268.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Yes | 75c | 262.36$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes | 73c | 233.42$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 53cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…dcb7backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…35e6backed Yes | 24c | 207.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Yes | 24c | 205.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e81…b001backed Yes | 25c | 203.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Yes | 25c | 200.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.34 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 24c | 200.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.05 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…68a8backed No | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 77c | 186.62$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 25c | 184$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8d…31a8backed Yes | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 77c | 150$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…4350backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 68cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 24c | 122.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…49eebacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3928…78d0backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 25c | 116$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x131c…5270backed Yes | 61c | 114.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 70c | 109$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f2…970ebacked No | 77c | 107$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…2d49backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf5…e611backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18eb…a597backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…f67ebacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-05?this page
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.