TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb6f2…970e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST4967.3%33 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+62.4%+$8.44
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+35.7%+$4.1
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+103.9%+$35.25
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+136.1%+$32.07
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+37.5%+$3.96
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+48.5%+$5.12
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.63
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+58%+$5.97
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+42%+$6.93
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$21.67
Wizards vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+26%+$4.1
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+33.7%+$9.14
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+43.4%+$6.9
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+59.8%+$6.82
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.69
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+86.5%+$10.45
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+38.1%+$12.21
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.68
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+47%+$6.47
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+61%+$10.79
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.85
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$17.29
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+46%+$7.83
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+40.3%+$11.77
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.36
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+51.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+46.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+71.7%+$8.45
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+46.2%+$14.2
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+99.3%+$10.86
Spread: Chargers (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$18.43
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+53.4%+$5.46
Spread: Lions (-8.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.97
All 6 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+70.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+88%+$9.08
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+78.6%+$16.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$13.67
Nottingham Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$5.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.87
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2025-11-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$19.76
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-11-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+31.9%+$6.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.