NFL · resolved market
Spread: Lions (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0eb5b3ef70a00cda823c89e73f5cfccf97dd90d10fff55fb643879cc2bc0b2d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lionsof Lions, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1496…a429backed Commanders | 53c | 77,576$41,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,115.27 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lions | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,900 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Lions | 49c | 23,631$11,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,152.08 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…b454backed Commanders | 52c | 21,000$10,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,919.99 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Lions | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Lions | 49c | 20,000$9,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,291 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Lions | 47c | 17,211$8,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,078.83 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Commanders | 51c | 16,816$8,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,638.42 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Commanders | 52c | 16,730$8,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,643.59 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Lions | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.3 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Commanders | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Lions | 48c | 7,062$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.26 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Commanders | 53c | 6,023$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.11 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Lions | 47c | 5,207$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.57 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Commanders | 52c | 3,495$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.18 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Lions | 48c | 3,473$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.82 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Lions | 47c | 3,379$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.66 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Lions | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…e1d7backed Lions | 48c | 2,583$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Commanders | 51c | 2,486$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.56 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Commanders | 52c | 2,019$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.07 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Lions | 47c | 1,660$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.57 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Lions | 47c | 1,186$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.62 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Lions | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Commanders | 51c | 1,002$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.08 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Lions | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Lions | 47c | 888.88$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0d…8d9dbacked Commanders | 53c | 850.94$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…b39abacked Lions | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb2…14d6backed Lions | 49c | 605.55$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.83 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Commanders | 54c | 424$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.96 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…508abacked Lions | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11c…261bbacked Lions | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Lions | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Lions | 49c | 405.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.64 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Commanders | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Commanders | 53c | 340$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.2 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Commanders | 51c | 317$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.93 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Lions | 47c | 308.5$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.51 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…2bb3backed Lions | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Commanders | 52c | 249.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.54 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Lions | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Lions | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…99aebacked Lions | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Lions | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…3280backed Lions | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Lions | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Lions | 52c | 194.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Lions | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lions | 46c | 185.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…1df2backed Commanders | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Commanders | 53c | 176.21$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Commanders | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…51dabacked Lions | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Lions | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Lions | 49c | 153.88$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Commanders | 52c | 133.27$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a1…ac8ebacked Lions | 49c | 123.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Lions | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Lions | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…fa6dbacked Lions | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Lions | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439d…3e06backed Lions | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Lions | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Commanders | 49c | 91.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Lions | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…8e45backed Lions | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acd…664abacked Lions | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2c…a85ebacked Lions | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Lions | 47c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…67e3backed Lions | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8556…a766backed Lions | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc795…6b62backed Lions | 47c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…310dbacked Lions | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…8a5bbacked Lions | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…9d9ebacked Lions | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…0f1bbacked Lions | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa5…e82abacked Lions | 48c | 62.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…c942backed Lions | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bca…2414backed Lions | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…635abacked Commanders | 52c | 57.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Lions | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe7…5fb9backed Commanders | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a4…d765backed Commanders | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe2…1bb4backed Lions | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Lions | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d65…3a17backed Lions | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Lions | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…5797backed Lions | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…966ebacked Lions | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f8…1092backed Lions | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…7fe0backed Lions | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…95b7backed Lions | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…47e3backed Commanders | 54c | 20.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f2…970ebacked Commanders | 54c | 20.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lions (-8.5)this page
- Lions vs. CommandersLions won
- Lions vs. Commanders: O/U 49.5Over won
- Lions vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5Over won
- Lions vs. Commanders: O/U 51.5Over won
- Spread: Lions (-3.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-7.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-9.5)Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.