NFL · resolved market
Spread: Lions (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x640a3270c5226a8dd77ba999c0d1c4c63d8bfd2c1572c3101eebe4b73f5f3931
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lionsof Lions, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1496…a429backed Commanders | 50c | 94,624$47,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,092.58 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Lions | 50c | 20,728$10,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,362.8 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…ed90backed Lions | 50c | 19,900$9,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,950 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lions | 51c | 18,194$9,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,829.13 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lions | 80c | 15,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lions | 50c | 14,850$7,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,354.63 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Commanders | 49c | 13,428$6,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,579.58 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Lions | 50c | 10,846$5,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,409.84 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Commanders | 48c | 9,634$4,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,625.19 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Lions | 52c | 9,596$4,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,606.14 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Lions | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lions | 51c | 6,567$3,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,214.83 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Lions | 50c | 5,162$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.26 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Commanders | 50c | 4,800$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Commanders | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Commanders | 48c | 3,413$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.19 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af5…2470backed Lions | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Commanders | 49c | 2,869$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.33 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lions | 50c | 2,111$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.91 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Lions | 50c | 2,087$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.5 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Lions | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Commanders | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Lions | 51c | 1,529$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.41 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Lions | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Commanders | 49c | 1,317$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.54 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Lions | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Lions | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Lions | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…9aabbacked Lions | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Lions | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Lions | 50c | 713.15$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.58 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e46…7ae5backed Lions | 50c | 701.32$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Lions | 51c | 654$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.56 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Lions | 51c | 631.41$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.39 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Commanders | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ba…b202backed Commanders | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf373…dc57backed Lions | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Commanders | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Lions | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…9d80backed Lions | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Commanders | 2c | 504$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Lions | 51c | 500.16$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.08 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Lions | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Lions | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…3b03backed Lions | 50c | 449.94$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.97 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a0…be02backed Lions | 51c | 439.8$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.5 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Lions | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Commanders | 45c | 320.77$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.35 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lions | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Lions | 55c | 272.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Lions | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Lions | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -12.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc597…4ee7backed Lions | 80c | 230.54$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Lions | 54c | 218$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Commanders | 47c | 214.36$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Commanders | 49c | 205.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Commanders | 50c | 204.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Lions | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed Lions | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Lions | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…73d8backed Lions | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Lions | 51c | 197.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.48 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…6914backed Lions | 50c | 149.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.22 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Commanders | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Commanders | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Commanders | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbf…06d4backed Lions | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…c97fbacked Lions | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Lions | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…0314backed Lions | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…1bbdbacked Lions | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2059…5203backed Lions | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Lions | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef8…c6b7backed Lions | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…a69fbacked Commanders | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lions | 50c | 26.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…75a1backed Lions | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Commanders | 50c | 20.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973a…70e6backed Lions | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Lions | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…3a67backed Lions | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed Lions | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ee…be10backed Lions | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +250.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Lions | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…acc5backed Lions | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lions (-7.5)this page
- Lions vs. CommandersLions won
- Lions vs. Commanders: O/U 49.5Over won
- Lions vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5Over won
- Lions vs. Commanders: O/U 51.5Over won
- Spread: Lions (-3.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-8.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-9.5)Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.