UFC · resolved market

UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb97b901094abc0e8c8065458f95e4e561e09ec28acd1d762a548aa26df05b2e5

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ruffyof Fiziev, Ruffy
Resolved: Feb 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,608,265
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,923,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,608,265 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 864 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5877…d894backed Ruffy	46c	142,806$65,691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77,115.1	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Ruffy	45c	133,035$59,866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73,169.33	191	54.5%104 W · 87 L	+14.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Fiziev	54c	100,005$54,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54,002.6	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Fiziev	54c	100,000$54,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53,999.97	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Fiziev	55c	89,000$48,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,950	195	44.6%87 W · 108 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Ruffy	46c	78,500$36,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,390	222	59.5%132 W · 90 L	+15.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Fiziev	54c	74,956$40,476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,476.18	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb383…f189backed Ruffy	47c	54,492$25,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,992.45	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44fd…b634backed Ruffy	53c	51,458$27,249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,208.87	39	64.1%25 W · 14 L	+5.1wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeed5…1a33backed Fiziev	54c	49,640$27,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,028.86	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Ruffy	48c	46,203$22,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,131.94	267	43.8%117 W · 150 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Ruffy	46c	44,069$20,272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,797.26	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Fiziev	54c	43,600$23,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,543.95	92	40.2%37 W · 55 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Ruffy	72c	42,020$30,329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,690.6	130	39.2%51 W · 79 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Fiziev	54c	40,000$21,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,599.85	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Ruffy	46c	39,062$18,091 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,970.22	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f67…4dd8backed Fiziev	54c	32,268$17,562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,562.24	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Fiziev	54c	30,732$16,595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,595.38	25	52%13 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Ruffy	47c	25,221$11,854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,367.28	115	54.8%63 W · 52 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Ruffy	47c	22,053$10,291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,761.54	905	53.6%485 W · 420 L	+46.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Fiziev	53c	21,000$11,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,149.84	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Fiziev	48c	20,306$9,659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,659.35	156	41%64 W · 92 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Ruffy	46c	18,863$8,609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,253.72	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7966…6f94backed Ruffy	46c	16,000$7,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,639.97	72	38.9%28 W · 44 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Fiziev	54c	13,944$7,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,480	69	37.7%26 W · 43 L	-7.6wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Fiziev	49c	13,928$6,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,887.98	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Fiziev	54c	13,734$7,416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,416.3	75	34.7%26 W · 49 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…8faebacked Ruffy	49c	13,457$6,611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,846.61	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Ruffy	46c	13,300$6,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,182	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Fiziev	54c	12,961$6,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,998.86	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Fiziev	54c	12,124$6,491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,491.16	145	58.6%85 W · 60 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85e9…5e96backed Ruffy	52c	11,700$6,084 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,616	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.8wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+97%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd68…90efbacked Fiziev	48c	11,700$5,616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,616	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Fiziev	53c	11,523$6,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,107.02	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf40…87debacked Fiziev	54c	10,926$5,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,900	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Ruffy	46c	10,708$4,913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,794.98	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+5.3wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Ruffy	33c	10,555$3,466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,089.46	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Ruffy	49c	10,363$5,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,329.25	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Fiziev	67c	10,119$6,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,773.36	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…2ecabacked Fiziev	54c	9,421$5,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,087.09	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-31%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Ruffy	48c	8,982$4,309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,672.47	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xade5…0113backed Fiziev	54c	8,333$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked Ruffy	47c	8,092$3,803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,289.02	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.24per pick	47cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Fiziev	51c	8,000$4,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,080	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Fiziev	54c	7,908$4,276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,275.77	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-4.1wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Ruffy	54c	7,827$4,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,638.7	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Ruffy	46c	7,000$3,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,780	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed Ruffy	48c	6,730$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,529.6	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.14per pick	64cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e62…ef0fbacked Fiziev	42c	6,709$2,843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,843.22	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-33%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ruffy	47c	6,278$2,933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,345.05	201	39.8%80 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Fiziev	48c	6,125$2,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,940	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Fiziev	55c	6,000$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Fiziev	48c	5,208$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,499.68	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Ruffy	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,700	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Ruffy	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,700	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed Ruffy	51c	5,000$2,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,459.97	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.28per pick	52cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Ruffy	48c	4,500$2,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,325	252	51.2%129 W · 123 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Fiziev	39c	4,495$1,754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,754.01	159	39.6%63 W · 96 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Ruffy	46c	4,400$2,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,376	40	72.5%29 W · 11 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	64cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x370f…c4e4backed Ruffy	46c	4,340$1,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,343.6	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Ruffy	46c	4,200$1,932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,268	86	50%43 W · 43 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Fiziev	55c	4,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Fiziev	55c	3,927$2,147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,147	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked Fiziev	55c	3,700$2,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,035	91	48.4%44 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Ruffy	46c	3,502$1,611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,891.34	309	64.7%200 W · 109 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Ruffy	47c	3,246$1,526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,720.45	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Ruffy	47c	3,202$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,702.13	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Ruffy	47c	3,191$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,691.49	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+3.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12f1…8e70backed Ruffy	51c	3,153$1,602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,550.88	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Ruffy	46c	3,100$1,426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,673.98	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Ruffy	52c	3,003$1,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,448.46	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+3.2wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Fiziev	54c	3,000$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,620	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Ruffy	46c	3,000$1,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,620	120	52.5%63 W · 57 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68fe…8792backed Fiziev	52c	3,000$1,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,550	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Fiziev	69c	3,000$2,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,059.98	134	53%71 W · 63 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Fiziev	50c	2,926$1,468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,467.63	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Ruffy	46c	2,906$1,337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,568.98	52	73.1%38 W · 14 L	+8.1wins	+0.16per pick	57cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb8d7…3e75backed Fiziev	54c	2,824$1,525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,525.12	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-4.4wins	-0.24per pick	52cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Fiziev	54c	2,778$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	91	64.8%59 W · 32 L	+8.4wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5896backed Fiziev	54c	2,778$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	142	37.3%53 W · 89 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Fiziev	54c	2,661$1,437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,436.77	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked Ruffy	48c	2,438$1,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,267.5	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed Fiziev	48c	2,353$1,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,137.99	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Ruffy	47c	2,350$1,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,245.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd750…e32cbacked Ruffy	46c	2,300$1,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,242	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Fiziev	53c	2,200$1,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,166	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Ruffy	47c	2,145$1,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,136.84	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Ruffy	52c	2,115$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,015.38	80	58.8%47 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c31…5240backed Ruffy	47c	2,108$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,107.92	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1a4…f14cbacked Fiziev	67c	2,102$1,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,398.56	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	68cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Ruffy	47c	2,053$965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,088.07	210	44.8%94 W · 116 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c36…c1efbacked Fiziev	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb29…9224backed Fiziev	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.93	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Ruffy	51c	1,881$965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$916.16	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6aa1…36b4backed Fiziev	55c	1,818$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09c…4d9abacked Fiziev	55c	1,818$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.20per pick	50cpaid	+117.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd788…f375backed Fiziev	52c	1,813$948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$948.08	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c2…a50ebacked Fiziev	50c	1,800$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-10.5wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Ruffy	49c	1,771$875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$895.74	417	54%225 W · 192 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Ruffy	52c	1,769$920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$849.23	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?No won
O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
Will Mauricio Ruffy win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will Rafael Fiziev win by KO or TKO?No won
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will the fight be won by submission?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event