College Football · resolved market
Spread: Texas A&M (-18.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bfb22701e684d8c8945b6e2ab11d19d73706e1420aa95dfed45e9f93c9db079
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Carolinaof Texas A&M, South Carolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed South Carolina | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Texas A&M | 47c | 16,331$7,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,675.39 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas A&M | 46c | 4,290$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.95 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked South Carolina | 57c | 732$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.08 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Texas A&M | 52c | 329$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.08 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe4…ba0ebacked South Carolina | 57c | 270$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…e173backed Texas A&M | 43c | 270$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed South Carolina | 54c | 252.88$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Texas A&M | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed South Carolina | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked South Carolina | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked South Carolina | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Texas A&M | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Texas A&M | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…bd6dbacked Texas A&M | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Texas A&M | 47c | 35.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f2…970ebacked Texas A&M | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…95b7backed South Carolina | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas A&M (-18.5)this page
- O/U 48.5Over won
- South Carolina vs. Texas A&MTexas A&M won
- South Carolina vs. Texas A&M: 1H MoneylineSouth Carolina won
- South Carolina vs. Texas A&M: O/U 47.5Over won
- South Carolina vs. Texas A&M: O/U 49.5Over won
- Spread: Texas A&M (-17.5)South Carolina won
- Spread: Texas A&M (-19.5)South Carolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.