College Football · resolved market
Spread: Texas A&M (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x380d9b7118fd6beb106c127c9eed93fcfe23573bdac12e8b0d519a7c1def78bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Carolinaof Texas A&M, South Carolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $666,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $666,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $666,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Texas A&M | 48c | 634,771$301,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301,544.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed South Carolina | 52c | 601,761$315,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285,889.62 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked South Carolina | 51c | 24,922$12,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,216.98 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Texas A&M | 50c | 17,635$8,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,876.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked South Carolina | 51c | 9,961$5,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,881.15 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed South Carolina | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed South Carolina | 53c | 6,037$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,837.39 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked South Carolina | 53c | 5,100$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed South Carolina | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Texas A&M | 50c | 4,726$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Texas A&M | 46c | 2,156$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.54 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed South Carolina | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Texas A&M | 48c | 961.54$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.54 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb614…d913backed South Carolina | 49c | 820$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed South Carolina | 51c | 768$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.32 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Texas A&M | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…1726backed Texas A&M | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed South Carolina | 53c | 260$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.3 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d1…8437backed Texas A&M | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…d923backed Texas A&M | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Texas A&M | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…d484backed Texas A&M | 51c | 194.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Texas A&M | 47c | 160.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b6…68f5backed Texas A&M | 51c | 157$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…34b3backed Texas A&M | 51c | 155$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…0e49backed Texas A&M | 51c | 145$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb5…8695backed Texas A&M | 51c | 137$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…5eefbacked Texas A&M | 51c | 118$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae2…4263backed Texas A&M | 51c | 118$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Texas A&M | 49c | 105.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec8…eaefbacked South Carolina | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Texas A&M | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed South Carolina | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…643ebacked South Carolina | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…740fbacked South Carolina | 55c | 91.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Texas A&M | 45c | 71.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked South Carolina | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Texas A&M | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…b033backed South Carolina | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Texas A&M | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas A&M (-17.5)this page
- O/U 48.5Over won
- South Carolina vs. Texas A&MTexas A&M won
- South Carolina vs. Texas A&M: 1H MoneylineSouth Carolina won
- South Carolina vs. Texas A&M: O/U 47.5Over won
- South Carolina vs. Texas A&M: O/U 49.5Over won
- Spread: Texas A&M (-18.5)South Carolina won
- Spread: Texas A&M (-19.5)South Carolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.