TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$233,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$280,561

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,459 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No28c50,000$13,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,75017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed No16c25,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0004922.4%11 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes62c17,543$10,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,666.485040%20 W · 30 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c57…c94dbacked Yes61c16,492$10,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,431.731741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca5a…7e43backed Yes62c16,370$10,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,220.61050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes63c15,486$9,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,706.456051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No37c10,733$4,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,001.874,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No39c9,851$3,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,798.2115750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95030446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed No39c4,529$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.15714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-58.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes58c3,999$2,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.583452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed No19c2,633$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No37c2,239$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.347922.8%18 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78025648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ad…e1e5backed Yes62c2,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7701100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+62.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…5c0abacked No36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked No39c1,994$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No36c1,986$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.6627453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No36c1,853$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.798552.9%45 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes63c1,808$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.65841.4%24 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed No14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002611.5%3 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27b2…865ebacked Yes62c1,290$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.321233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No36c1,281$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.7953246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dff…5431backed Yes64c1,251$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No18c1,247$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4620945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes64c1,169$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.7527854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes66c1,065$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.1214244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes63c999.98$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.995658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No11c914.23$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0111736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaec4…fa49backed No38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006755.2%37 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No35c599.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21021355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No37c596.89$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3117155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Yes59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1952737%10 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea7a…446bbacked Yes62c482.1$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes62c477.42$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.4228342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes63c476.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.182770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes62c469.35$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.357468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked Yes63c468.25$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.251330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes65c464$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.36035%21 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb870…1323backed Yes64c414.8$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0037…f9ebbacked Yes62c407.6$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.893100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Yes62c372.7$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.631770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+51.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No40c366.42$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9655941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes59c362.05$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.445448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes65c346$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12250243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e0…7302backed Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.46616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-73.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes64c307.39$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.666753.7%36 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11411947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Yes62c290$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.21573.3%11 W · 4 L+5.4wins+0.36per pick38cpaid+117.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x73a6…8924backed No36c289.52$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.86757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes64c289$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.045940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfc31…133cbacked Yes63c285.71$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.71425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No37c274.79$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.523964.1%25 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes62c269$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2210063%63 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Yes62c258.06$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.061361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Yes64c234.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.773650%18 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes63c223.32$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.637853.8%42 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No25c223$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0437039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes63c221.16$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.167950.6%40 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes63c218$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6614540.7%59 W · 86 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Yes63c209.98$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.692462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes64c209.17$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.089966.7%66 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes65c208.15$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9515051.3%77 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Yes61c203.28$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.287159.2%42 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x38ad…80f6backed No38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked Yes64c180.78$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.089158.2%53 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No34c179.02$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8716926%44 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d0…d107backed No38c171.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cb4…40c3backed Yes66c167.14$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.14666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid+1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b8d…5820backed Yes59c166.48$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b43…467fbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.296639.4%26 W · 40 L-8.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.295349.1%26 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+34.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32f4…d322backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8993…222dbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.733043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67dd…6fcebacked Yes63c158.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a53…8c81backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes64c156$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.161872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+28.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x154c…658ebacked No37c155.55$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-49.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.853855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked No38c149.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.252020%4 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-65.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2932…3ae8backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Yes58c148.34$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.319344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No11c141.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9829946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes64c134.56$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4419652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb315…d6c9backed No38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92a5…eb80backed Yes65c128.41$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.226852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x064a…9c2fbacked Yes64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Yes65c115.75$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5513958.3%81 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No37c113.85$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.748125.9%21 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fce…8731backed Yes63c113$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.34450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3813…a81fbacked Yes63c111.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.11366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No34c105.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3612757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f12…6b02backed Yes62c105.68$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes64c101.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5620047.5%95 W · 105 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked No18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.