La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c2ccc4e1e63b1d9c4cf2261a9b153a264813aa008971b14e43da62014e6fd04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 3c | 7,252$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.56 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 13c | 5,003$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.46 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 13c | 4,837$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.6 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 12c | 3,797$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.6 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 3,523$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.79 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…56c9backed Yes | 13c | 1,184$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 12c | 1,089$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.91 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…06cebacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 10c | 994.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…7302backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e20…1524backed Yes | 13c | 346.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…f34ebacked Yes | 14c | 288$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc31…133cbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…d958backed Yes | 12c | 180.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 12c | 166.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 15c | 150.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ca…d205backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…b20fbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…1437backed Yes | 13c | 96.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…c1bebacked Yes | 13c | 74.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will Athletic Club vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?No won
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.