La Liga · resolved market
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf08d0fb8c099af4410421312db39a884845c829330444856a93e3b2ee2f41641
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc52c…6732backed Yes | 12c | 2,396$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 75c | 1,211$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.76 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…56c9backed Yes | 26c | 1,146$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9005…d988backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 75c | 408.85$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.73 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Yes | 29c | 341.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 75c | 324.55$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Yes | 26c | 310$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 15c | 283.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 34cpaid | -83%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 76c | 274.91$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 27c | 262.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 12c | 241.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 15c | 221$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 153.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 152.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 142.06$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes | 26c | 125.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505c…1604backed Yes | 28c | 107.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…564fbacked Yes | 25c | 96.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 60.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a8…a4efbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…699bbacked No | 74c | 21.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x112c…d185backed No | 73c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Athletic Club vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-09?Yes won
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-11-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.