NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc249036aaa1a042283e574f6b0fe836bbc1aa76b613b77bec20f1cf3f9c2b7e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Canadiens, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $876,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $899,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $876,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 372 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6155…7ebbbacked Canadiens | 45c | 364,838$162,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162,484.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Devils | 54c | 150,000$81,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,299.98 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Canadiens | 22c | 100,000$21,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,595.41 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Devils | 56c | 95,225$53,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,586.46 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Devils | 56c | 70,000$39,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,799.84 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Canadiens | 43c | 48,344$20,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,590.61 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Devils | 57c | 47,012$26,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,415.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Devils | 55c | 35,216$19,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,847.2 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Devils | 57c | 24,468$13,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,580.14 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Devils | 55c | 22,110$12,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,949.32 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Canadiens | 44c | 18,000$7,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,919.97 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Devils | 57c | 15,000$8,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,375 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Canadiens | 1c | 12,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Devils | 59c | 12,024$7,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,929.73 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Devils | 56c | 11,430$6,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,029.2 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Devils | 57c | 10,021$5,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,308.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Devils | 56c | 9,798$5,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,310.95 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Devils | 55c | 8,986$4,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,043.48 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…d6d1backed Devils | 78c | 8,426$6,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Devils | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Devils | 55c | 6,629$3,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.98 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff3c…09ebbacked Devils | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Devils | 56c | 5,227$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.75 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Devils | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Devils | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Canadiens | 44c | 5,000$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.99 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Devils | 56c | 4,886$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.66 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Devils | 57c | 4,859$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.42 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Canadiens | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.93 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Devils | 57c | 4,430$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.82 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Canadiens | 43c | 4,350$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.5 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Devils | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Devils | 27c | 3,045$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.5 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Devils | 57c | 2,943$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.71 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Canadiens | 42c | 2,907$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.29 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens | 51c | 2,506$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.09 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Canadiens | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Canadiens | 43c | 2,493$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.99 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Devils | 56c | 2,271$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.43 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Devils | 60c | 2,178$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Devils | 39c | 2,072$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.62 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Devils | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Canadiens | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Devils | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb714…eb1bbacked Devils | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…a16bbacked Canadiens | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Devils | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Canadiens | 39c | 1,881$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.01 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Devils | 42c | 1,788$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.9 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Devils | 57c | 1,750$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.5 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Devils | 15c | 1,700$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Devils | 57c | 1,700$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.97 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Devils | 56c | 1,697$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.97 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 41c | 1,543$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.25 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bf…f9cebacked Canadiens | 36c | 1,515$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.9 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Devils | 61c | 1,450$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.03 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd78f…0463backed Canadiens | 42c | 1,421$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Devils | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d96…0b38backed Devils | 58c | 1,395$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.9 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Devils | 56c | 1,335$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.61 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Canadiens | 1c | 1,332$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Canadiens | 43c | 1,330$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.9 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Devils | 77c | 1,274$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.42 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Devils | 57c | 1,241$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.61 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Devils | 15c | 1,191$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.64 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Devils | 58c | 1,190$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Devils | 57c | 1,161$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.18 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 43c | 1,144$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.05 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Devils | 55c | 1,067$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Canadiens | 44c | 1,053$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.32 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Devils | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Devils | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Canadiens | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Devils | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36ea…be40backed Devils | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…08d7backed Canadiens | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Canadiens | 43c | 951$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.93 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…36f2backed Devils | 57c | 924.02$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.33 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…19ffbacked Canadiens | 44c | 924.02$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.57 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Devils | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.8wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Canadiens | 36c | 842.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Canadiens | 51c | 830.28$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.3 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Devils | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Canadiens | 43c | 797.74$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.38 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Devils | 58c | 699.89$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.95 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Devils | 57c | 650.45$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.89 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Devils | 56c | 632.41$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.52 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2258…29dfbacked Devils | 57c | 589.98$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.69 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Devils | 73c | 574.94$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.94 | 167 | 66.5%111 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Devils | 56c | 567$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.48 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Canadiens | 41c | 564$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.24 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Devils | 58c | 560.57$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.58 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Canadiens | 41c | 531.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.24 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Devils | 57c | 526.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.58 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Devils | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Devils | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Devils | 76c | 505.06$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.21 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Canadiens | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Canadiens | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Devilsthis page
- Canadiens vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.