Champions League · resolved market
Olympique de Marseille vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06186be18245c1a534b175b9fe13451ee574bbdeb1c8053adf91cb4773f23f9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 54c | 5,999$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.46 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 5,749$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,131.15 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 44c | 3,723$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.02 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 46c | 3,509$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.74 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Over | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 57c | 2,358$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.88 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Over | 56c | 1,799$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.44 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Under | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…33bfbacked Over | 55c | 232.16$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…f958backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 45c | 180.38$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Over | 58c | 172.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 53c | 158$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Over | 56c | 128.51$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 45c | 115.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b12…30d8backed Over | 57c | 97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -7.5wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 42c | 73.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Over | 54c | 69.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 46c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked Under | 48c | 54.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 52c | 46.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed Under | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6748backed Over | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +65%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f2…970ebacked Under | 47c | 41.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.5wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe94…bb87backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over | 55c | 34.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…dae3backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…dc32backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…3086backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5this page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-0.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.