Champions League · resolved market
Olympique de Marseille vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb37266d87e0eefaebae98e12aab33d5312a7e1c0c5f50aae04a7b69e606d599
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked No | 42c | 264.29$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.29 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 55c | 248.18$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.38 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 41c | 240.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.03 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 57c | 207$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.06 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked No | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf678…efc7backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…28ddbacked No | 43c | 114.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…3269backed No | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +52%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked No | 41c | 88.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 34.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc495…f940backed Yes | 60c | 33.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a95…bb94backed No | 41c | 29.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…a09dbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 57c | 21.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-0.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.