Champions League · resolved market
Club Brugge KV vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70ed95ef5c939489a6f49cb7b27dd3d23c16538c21dc9922f2d92801456e72f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.97 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 2,988$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.23 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 46c | 2,150$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 46c | 1,600$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.44 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 53c | 1,518$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.46 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 46c | 1,515$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.98 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Under | 46c | 1,350$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.98 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.06 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Under | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…5361backed Under | 15c | 663.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…71dbbacked Over | 54c | 485.13$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 48c | 370.52$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Over | 53c | 300$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 54c | 279.39$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Under | 42c | 236.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 46c | 214.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…85dabacked Under | 49c | 206.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…8e95backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Over | 52c | 199.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 55c | 199.11$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a9…1f13backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c1…3ac2backed Under | 20c | 177.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Over | 54c | 169.54$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 56c | 158.85$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Over | 51c | 149.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…f72fbacked Over | 50c | 149.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Under | 45c | 146.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Over | 53c | 118.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Over | 73c | 112$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83f4…d10cbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 54c | 85.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Over | 54c | 83.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcc…317cbacked Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 55c | 69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Over | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed9…2deebacked Over | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33fa…681bbacked Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Over | 51c | 56.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked Under | 49c | 44.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Over | 53c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c6…d24cbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…e313backed Under | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed Over | 51c | 29.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8153…c439backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…a488backed Under | 49c | 27.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f2…970ebacked Under | 49c | 26.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…3b22backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc761…de5bbacked Over | 53c | 24.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…3579backed Over | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +133.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Brugge KV vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Brugge KV vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)Club Brugge KV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.