UFC · resolved market

UFC 322: Vieira vs. Nickal (Middleweight, Prelims)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba9c15d78061488c32fdf5475da0112cbd1b27122a8e751ad7f6c18e4341c205

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nickalof Vieira, Nickal
Resolved: Nov 15, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $540,414
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $614,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $540,414 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdbad…9c95backed Vieira	30c	100,432$29,630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,629.52	191	54.5%104 W · 87 L	+14.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Nickal	70c	91,116$63,905 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,211.25	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Nickal	70c	90,798$63,351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,447.36	160	49.4%79 W · 81 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c81…e258backed Nickal	69c	53,700$37,053 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,646.99	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.14per pick	63cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Vieira	31c	41,662$12,903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,903.38	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd81…9640backed Nickal	71c	40,570$28,805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,765.3	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Vieira	22c	38,248$8,426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,426.15	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Nickal	70c	33,552$23,587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,965.68	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Vieira	30c	30,000$9,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,999.98	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Vieira	30c	29,530$8,819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,819.18	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7966…6f94backed Vieira	30c	21,000$6,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,270	72	38.9%28 W · 44 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Vieira	31c	13,000$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.17per pick	37cpaid	+37%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb373…c8b0backed Vieira	31c	11,978$3,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,658.27	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.22per pick	36cpaid	-66%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Nickal	67c	11,558$7,789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,769.33	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Vieira	31c	10,000$3,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,100	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vieira	29c	10,000$2,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,900	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Nickal	70c	8,610$6,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,583	169	51.5%87 W · 82 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Vieira	32c	8,093$2,569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,569.02	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Vieira	31c	7,777$2,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,388.63	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3306…7258backed Nickal	70c	7,040$4,955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,085.17	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	70cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3d…5d4cbacked Vieira	30c	7,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-3.0wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Vieira	30c	5,146$1,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,543.8	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Vieira	10c	5,074$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.65	105	22.9%24 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Nickal	70c	5,010$3,507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,503	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f0…62f0backed Nickal	69c	4,348$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,347.83	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8605…750fbacked Nickal	70c	4,286$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,285.71	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Vieira	30c	3,776$1,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,115.77	235	37%87 W · 148 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd617…a8b3backed Nickal	71c	3,698$2,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,072.28	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…66b9backed Vieira	30c	3,680$1,104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,104	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Vieira	33c	3,326$1,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,097.58	209	33.5%70 W · 139 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Nickal	68c	3,228$2,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,027.24	309	64.7%200 W · 109 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Vieira	30c	3,060$918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$918.09	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-4.8wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30b8…f41fbacked Vieira	32c	2,947$937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$937.18	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4d…6055backed Vieira	30c	2,643$793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792.88	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Vieira	31c	2,551$789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$789.29	180	38.9%70 W · 110 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Nickal	68c	2,500$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$799.98	117	46.2%54 W · 63 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Vieira	33c	2,050$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.5	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Nickal	68c	2,000$1,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Vieira	29c	2,000$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	210	44.8%94 W · 116 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20cb…719bbacked Vieira	21c	1,878$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed Vieira	30c	1,674$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d32…563abacked Vieira	31c	1,613$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Vieira	4c	1,560$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.62	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Vieira	31c	1,500$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.9	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+6.7wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c5…90dfbacked Vieira	31c	1,500$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Vieira	33c	1,482$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.22	122	35.2%43 W · 79 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nickal	68c	1,480$1,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473.72	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa71a…e4e2backed Nickal	68c	1,473$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473.45	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3fb…b8e1backed Nickal	69c	1,449$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.49	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7b0…bd69backed Nickal	69c	1,449$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.28	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee9a…a8d6backed Vieira	30c	1,333$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.22per pick	51cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Nickal	67c	1,284$860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.94	267	43.8%117 W · 150 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c08…d3f0backed Vieira	32c	1,250$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.02	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.8wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeab2…2b11backed Nickal	67c	1,223$825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.67	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf9…68debacked Nickal	70c	1,167$817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.14	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Vieira	3c	1,085$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.1	93	36.6%34 W · 59 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Vieira	8c	1,076$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.4	40	40%16 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Nickal	71c	1,068$758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.61	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Vieira	32c	1,026$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.63	46	65.2%30 W · 16 L	+4.6wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Nickal	71c	1,000$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Vieira	32c	1,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Vieira	20c	999.98$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	540	56.7%306 W · 234 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Vieira	33c	999.95$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.98	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Vieira	31c	978.49$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	134	50%67 W · 67 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Vieira	30c	933.33$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-4.0wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Nickal	68c	930.83$633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.86	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Vieira	31c	776.99$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.87	238	50.4%120 W · 118 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Nickal	70c	774.29$542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.29	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Vieira	32c	759.57$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.06	122	62.3%76 W · 46 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c5b…cc75backed Vieira	4c	750$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Vieira	32c	750$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Vieira	11c	747.83$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.1	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Nickal	71c	741.32$524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.04	80	58.8%47 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Nickal	68c	733.87$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.87	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+46.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Nickal	69c	728.9$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.9	87	59.8%52 W · 35 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4594…efb8backed Nickal	69c	724.64$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.64	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.23per pick	64cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9353…4229backed Nickal	69c	724.64$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.64	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.23per pick	50cpaid	-56%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Vieira	3c	720$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	149	29.5%44 W · 105 L	-15.2wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1411…5afdbacked Nickal	71c	704.23$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.23	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Nickal	71c	700$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…e7b3backed Nickal	70c	610.25$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.25	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Vieira	8c	607.87$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.59	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	+10.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83ce…1778backed Vieira	33c	606.06$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…e4cdbacked Nickal	70c	601.6$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.48	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.3wins	+0.28per pick	59cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf455…195bbacked Nickal	70c	571.43$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.43	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcac4…bf62backed Nickal	70c	571.43$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.43	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Vieira	12c	559.91$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.19	265	52.1%138 W · 127 L	+23.9wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked Vieira	9c	550$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-2.8wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-39%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Vieira	3c	533.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	91	24.2%22 W · 69 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7774…15d4backed Nickal	71c	520.15$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.84	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Nickal	69c	519$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.5	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Nickal	71c	510.93$363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.17	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Nickal	67c	500$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	226	61.9%140 W · 86 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Nickal	71c	500$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145	378	54.8%207 W · 171 L	+20.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a7…c0dfbacked Vieira	33c	500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Vieira	30c	500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x960f…46cfbacked Nickal	70c	500$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Vieira	30c	499.99$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	106	51.9%55 W · 51 L	+7.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Vieira	31c	499.95$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.99	68	29.4%20 W · 48 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2aa…deecbacked Nickal	70c	495.6$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.68	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-3.7wins	-0.26per pick	55cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC 322: Vieira vs. Nickal (Middleweight, Prelims)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?No won
O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
Will Bo Nickal win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will Rodolfo Vieira win by KO or TKO?No won
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will the fight be won by submission?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC 322: Vieira vs. Nickal (Middleweight, Prelims)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event