College Football · resolved market
Western Michigan vs. Northern Illinois
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a07999086bee2b560330ac74096533d8752b950671b73ce88d58b3cbe61113d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Michiganof Western Michigan, Northern Illinois
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Western Michigan | 70c | 35,000$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Northern Illinois | 30c | 28,145$8,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,443.44 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Western Michigan | 69c | 20,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Western Michigan | 71c | 14,052$10,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.7 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Northern Illinois | 0c | 12,682$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northern Illinois | 42c | 11,686$4,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,918.93 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Northern Illinois | 31c | 10,248$3,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,176.83 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Northern Illinois | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Northern Illinois | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Western Michigan | 70c | 8,521$5,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.94 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Northern Illinois | 47c | 8,283$3,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,878.82 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Western Michigan | 62c | 7,890$4,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.98 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Northern Illinois | 28c | 7,265$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.71 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northern Illinois | 31c | 6,840$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.79 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Northern Illinois | 31c | 4,868$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.65 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Northern Illinois | 30c | 4,167$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.1 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7376…4f46backed Northern Illinois | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…913fbacked Northern Illinois | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Western Michigan | 41c | 3,205$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.83 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Northern Illinois | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3e…7909backed Northern Illinois | 32c | 3,000$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…03febacked Northern Illinois | 32c | 3,000$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Western Michigan | 71c | 2,921$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.11 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fe…98a5backed Northern Illinois | 32c | 2,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Northern Illinois | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Western Michigan | 50c | 2,004$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.97 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27b…39edbacked Western Michigan | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbade…84b8backed Western Michigan | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…105bbacked Northern Illinois | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…67cdbacked Western Michigan | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…4144backed Western Michigan | 68c | 1,800$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Northern Illinois | 33c | 1,800$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.99 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Northern Illinois | 29c | 1,777$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.63 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Northern Illinois | 28c | 1,745$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.38 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…358ebacked Western Michigan | 59c | 1,711$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…89d0backed Western Michigan | 68c | 1,700$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…0360backed Western Michigan | 68c | 1,700$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3792…3f75backed Western Michigan | 68c | 1,700$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Northern Illinois | 30c | 1,619$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.71 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…0c28backed Western Michigan | 68c | 1,600$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Northern Illinois | 28c | 1,514$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.13 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Northern Illinois | 30c | 1,509$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.7 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172a…6502backed Western Michigan | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…ed6bbacked Western Michigan | 71c | 1,465$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…1e74backed Western Michigan | 68c | 1,400$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Western Michigan | 72c | 1,322$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.16 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northern Illinois | 40c | 1,310$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.15 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Northern Illinois | 48c | 1,258$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.8 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7d…c233backed Western Michigan | 68c | 1,200$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Northern Illinois | 30c | 1,143$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.39 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Western Michigan | 70c | 1,100$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Northern Illinois | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Northern Illinois | 26c | 1,000$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Western Michigan | 77c | 938$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.74 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Western Michigan | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Northern Illinois | 32c | 745$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.4 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Northern Illinois | 4c | 728.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Northern Illinois | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Northern Illinois | 29c | 690$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4285backed Northern Illinois | 37c | 685.7$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.71 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Northern Illinois | 31c | 626.46$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.2 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Western Michigan | 47c | 576.61$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.1 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Western Michigan | 71c | 559.15$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Western Michigan | 52c | 557.48$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.41 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9e…6adebacked Western Michigan | 69c | 507.25$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Northern Illinois | 29c | 499.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Northern Illinois | 31c | 499.94$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Western Michigan | 54c | 492.98$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.48 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…0073backed Northern Illinois | 32c | 460$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Western Michigan | 74c | 459.88$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.47 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Northern Illinois | 30c | 402$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Northern Illinois | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Western Michigan | 72c | 391.67$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.67 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Northern Illinois | 30c | 370$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Northern Illinois | 32c | 310$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Western Michigan | 68c | 305.91$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.91 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Western Michigan | 69c | 299.73$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.93 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Western Michigan | 53c | 288.57$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.42 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Western Michigan | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe7…68f3backed Western Michigan | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Western Michigan | 57c | 275.35$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.09 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…812fbacked Western Michigan | 71c | 265.69$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.05 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Western Michigan | 55c | 263$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Northern Illinois | 18c | 244$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Northern Illinois | 30c | 221$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…7f12backed Western Michigan | 68c | 220$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Northern Illinois | 31c | 219.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Western Michigan | 52c | 218.81$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Northern Illinois | 31c | 202$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…66a7backed Northern Illinois | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Northern Illinois | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Northern Illinois | 30c | 193.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Northern Illinois | 50c | 191.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25df…ba12backed Western Michigan | 71c | 180$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Northern Illinois | 12c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Northern Illinois | 32c | 159.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Northern Illinois | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Western Michigan | 60c | 146.08$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Western Michigan | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 26 | 92.3%24 W · 2 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 73cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Western Michigan | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Michigan vs. Northern Illinoisthis page
- O/U 38.5Over won
- Spread: Western Michigan (-6.5)Western Michigan won
- Spread: Western Michigan (-7.5)Western Michigan won
- Western Michigan vs. Northern Illinois: 1H MoneylineWestern Michigan won
- Western Michigan vs. Northern Illinois: O/U 39.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.