NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe32ea54d90b7aa834b828a50e446a9c16436667c95807a8537ac5a803175d87f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Devils, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,378,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,920,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,378,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Devils | 44c | 1,818,628$803,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015,354.89 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 56c | 560,156$313,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313,220.04 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Capitals | 57c | 177,837$101,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,366.84 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Capitals | 57c | 135,487$76,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,749.81 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Capitals | 57c | 90,000$51,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,600 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Capitals | 55c | 79,500$43,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,725.24 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Capitals | 58c | 74,000$42,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,920 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 55c | 70,397$39,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,069.88 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Capitals | 57c | 64,725$36,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,893.39 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Capitals | 39c | 60,000$23,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,399.84 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Capitals | 56c | 54,609$30,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,580.86 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Capitals | 57c | 41,414$23,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,432.98 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Capitals | 56c | 40,000$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,500 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 56c | 28,436$15,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,932.83 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Capitals | 58c | 27,000$15,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,779.98 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 56c | 20,000$11,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,100 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Capitals | 56c | 19,668$11,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,014.08 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Capitals | 57c | 17,000$9,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,690 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Capitals | 57c | 16,827$9,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,625.97 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Capitals | 17c | 16,530$2,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.13 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Capitals | 47c | 14,261$6,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,634.36 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Capitals | 56c | 13,625$7,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,630.17 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Capitals | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Capitals | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Capitals | 60c | 8,995$5,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,397 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Capitals | 56c | 8,162$4,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,580.72 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Capitals | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Capitals | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Capitals | 17c | 6,981$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.77 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Capitals | 57c | 6,836$3,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,866.33 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…01a0backed Capitals | 56c | 6,781$3,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,797.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…8802backed Devils | 44c | 6,772$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,792.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Capitals | 56c | 6,429$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600.05 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Devils | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Devils | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Devils | 79c | 5,471$4,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.75 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Capitals | 57c | 5,064$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.92 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Devils | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 48c | 4,939$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.92 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Capitals | 56c | 4,897$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,742.32 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Devils | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.98 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Capitals | 57c | 3,313$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.52 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Capitals | 56c | 3,305$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.38 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 45c | 3,262$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.3 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Capitals | 55c | 3,222$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.85 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Capitals | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…eb7bbacked Capitals | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Capitals | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Capitals | 54c | 2,700$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Devils | 44c | 2,525$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.45 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Capitals | 57c | 2,263$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Capitals | 56c | 2,250$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.5 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Devils | 42c | 2,137$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.75 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Capitals | 58c | 2,021$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.05 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Capitals | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Capitals | 43c | 2,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…7bcabacked Devils | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Capitals | 23c | 1,990$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.2 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Capitals | 57c | 1,936$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.4 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Capitals | 57c | 1,905$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.15 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Capitals | 45c | 1,718$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.76 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 56c | 1,714$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.98 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Capitals | 60c | 1,700$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.17 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Capitals | 55c | 1,693$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.35 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Capitals | 57c | 1,636$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.87 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 37c | 1,575$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.88 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Capitals | 1c | 1,554$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Capitals | 25c | 1,550$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.1 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Devils | 41c | 1,508$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.62 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Capitals | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Devils | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.16 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Devils | 42c | 1,452$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.38 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Capitals | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Capitals | 57c | 1,353$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Devils | 43c | 1,287$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.78 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Capitals | 56c | 1,281$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.43 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Devils | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Capitals | 56c | 1,126$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.56 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Capitals | 57c | 1,110$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.6 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Devils | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Capitals | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…19ffbacked Capitals | 58c | 993.96$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…a88ebacked Devils | 43c | 993.96$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.56 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a1…88f3backed Capitals | 58c | 981.03$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Capitals | 56c | 911.2$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.23 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Capitals | 56c | 815$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.44 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Capitals | 58c | 807.16$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.15 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Capitals | 57c | 750$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…252fbacked Devils | 43c | 748.47$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Devils | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Devils | 41c | 670$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.3 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Capitals | 42c | 627.99$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.09 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Devils | 44c | 611.2$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.45 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Capitals | 34c | 572.64$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.39 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Devils | 42c | 541.66$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.16 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Capitals | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Devils | 47c | 501.66$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.91 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Capitals | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Devils | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Capitalsthis page
- Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.