NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e15616ce239f2c55d16943a52d67f5e50c21274493b7dd7d7af10324db5665d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Wizards, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,714,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,724,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,714,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Wizards | 30c | 339,241$101,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,772.34 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Wizards | 30c | 214,031$64,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,867.98 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Wizards | 31c | 161,290$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,999.84 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Kings | 70c | 122,319$85,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,695.7 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Wizards | 30c | 100,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,999.99 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Kings | 71c | 98,800$69,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,122 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 70c | 81,480$57,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,424.94 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Kings | 70c | 72,335$50,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,722.31 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b33…3d6abacked Wizards | 5c | 64,423$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.52 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kings | 70c | 45,667$31,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,905.43 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…925abacked Wizards | 4c | 44,407$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.23 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Kings | 69c | 40,921$28,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,685.41 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Wizards | 30c | 40,020$12,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,205.59 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Kings | 70c | 40,000$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.99 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Wizards | 30c | 35,000$10,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,649.99 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Kings | 71c | 34,595$24,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,106.55 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Wizards | 8c | 33,025$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.59 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Wizards | 29c | 30,417$8,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,852.66 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Kings | 70c | 30,010$20,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,103.1 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Kings | 70c | 30,005$21,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,974.46 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kings | 70c | 29,980$21,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,975.35 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards | 16c | 27,175$4,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,358.97 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Kings | 71c | 26,714$18,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,819.52 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Wizards | 12c | 25,681$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 70c | 23,795$16,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,128.69 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 70c | 22,516$15,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,832.82 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…0b2ebacked Wizards | 30c | 21,026$6,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,307.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards | 29c | 20,404$5,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,917.03 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Wizards | 29c | 19,452$5,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,665.94 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings | 69c | 19,380$13,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,007.74 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Kings | 80c | 18,848$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,847.94 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 14c | 18,687$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings | 70c | 17,064$11,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,136.19 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 69c | 16,768$11,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,119.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Kings | 69c | 16,219$11,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,006.5 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards | 0c | 16,083$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Wizards | 31c | 15,000$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Wizards | 31c | 14,996$4,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,597.39 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Kings | 69c | 14,496$10,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,493.76 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Wizards | 1c | 14,081$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.61 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 14c | 14,016$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.88 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Wizards | 29c | 13,915$4,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,065.43 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards | 27c | 13,547$3,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,684.89 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Kings | 71c | 13,461$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960.76 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 1c | 13,176$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.76 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed Kings | 69c | 13,170$9,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,082.7 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Wizards | 30c | 12,971$3,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,857.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Kings | 70c | 11,881$8,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,583.75 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…c108backed Wizards | 31c | 10,422$3,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230.77 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Kings | 70c | 10,075$7,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.37 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Kings | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Wizards | 27c | 10,000$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,663.52 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Wizards | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…cc35backed Wizards | 29c | 9,958$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Kings | 69c | 9,710$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.14 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…72a4backed Wizards | 29c | 9,514$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,766.4 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Wizards | 0c | 9,500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Wizards | 22c | 9,392$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Kings | 69c | 9,325$6,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850.31 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Kings | 70c | 9,250$6,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Kings | 70c | 8,571$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.43 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +10.8wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Wizards | 30c | 8,333$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Wizards | 14c | 8,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Wizards | 21c | 7,959$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.66 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Kings | 69c | 7,880$5,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.8 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Wizards | 21c | 7,797$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.94 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Kings | 71c | 7,700$5,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Kings | 70c | 7,435$5,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.4 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Kings | 70c | 7,143$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.86 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Wizards | 22c | 7,124$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.64 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Kings | 71c | 6,796$4,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.3 | 247 | 52.6%130 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Kings | 70c | 6,779$4,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.21 | 163 | 70.6%115 W · 48 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Wizards | 19c | 6,626$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.08 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…171abacked Kings | 70c | 6,237$4,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +192.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Wizards | 16c | 6,175$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.77 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Wizards | 2c | 6,038$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Kings | 69c | 6,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.98 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Wizards | 30c | 6,000$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.97 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Wizards | 14c | 5,882$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.03 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdb…1d79backed Wizards | 29c | 5,800$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Kings | 69c | 5,797$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.1 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…9234backed Kings | 70c | 5,709$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Wizards | 21c | 5,350$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.53 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Kings | 70c | 5,285$3,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.34 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Wizards | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Wizards | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Wizards | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…c868backed Kings | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7a…3accbacked Wizards | 2c | 4,621$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.05 | 188 | 25%47 W · 141 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Kings | 71c | 4,607$3,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.03 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…82d5backed Wizards | 31c | 4,500$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabe…f584backed Kings | 70c | 4,500$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b79…6bd0backed Kings | 70c | 4,496$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 30c | 4,100$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Wizards | 8c | 4,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Wizards | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Kings | 70c | 3,965$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.53 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Wizards | 3c | 3,867$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Kings | 76c | 3,797$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.86 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Kings | 71c | 3,700$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Kingsthis page
- 1H Spread: Kings (-4.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-6.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-7.5)Kings won
- Wizards vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.