TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rutgersof Maryland Terrapins, Rutgers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,863,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,246,687

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,863,390 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Rutgers54c702,205$381,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320,426.3712549.6%62 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Maryland Terrapins46c243,739$111,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,773.5393548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Maryland Terrapins46c91,235$42,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,054.934250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Maryland Terrapins46c89,171$41,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,018.8832745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Maryland Terrapins41c61,648$25,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,275.285947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Maryland Terrapins45c60,163$27,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,073.5216635.5%59 W · 107 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Rutgers54c52,592$28,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,192.355440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Maryland Terrapins45c36,647$16,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,397.856838.2%26 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Maryland Terrapins45c28,964$13,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,033.912,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Maryland Terrapins45c25,340$11,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,401.9875651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Maryland Terrapins46c24,450$11,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,236.217443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Maryland Terrapins46c17,000$7,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8205152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Maryland Terrapins47c15,399$7,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,174.4515451.9%80 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff3c…09ebbacked Maryland Terrapins46c14,000$6,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4401225%3 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-36.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Rutgers54c12,222$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,622.122065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Rutgers57c11,590$6,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,949.494055%22 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Maryland Terrapins46c11,111$5,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,111.067853.8%42 W · 36 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x09d1…9d8fbacked Rutgers51c10,688$5,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,237.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Maryland Terrapins22c10,577$2,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,314.0527648.9%135 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Maryland Terrapins20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick19cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Maryland Terrapins46c7,982$3,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,671.7281847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Maryland Terrapins46c7,500$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,45029055.2%160 W · 130 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Maryland Terrapins45c7,500$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3757944.3%35 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rutgers60c6,951$4,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,804.0462843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Maryland Terrapins11c6,929$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.116030%18 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rutgers71c6,856$4,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.4140541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Maryland Terrapins48c6,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8504748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Maryland Terrapins37c5,453$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.2630949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Maryland Terrapins45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.822750.7%115 W · 112 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe651…8764backed Rutgers38c3,690$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+53%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Maryland Terrapins46c3,500$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,61038546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Maryland Terrapins15c3,216$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Maryland Terrapins47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41017837.6%67 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Maryland Terrapins33c2,951$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.464841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rutgers62c2,588$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.5955350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Maryland Terrapins52c2,500$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2957143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Maryland Terrapins43c2,185$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.2368440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Maryland Terrapins46c2,069$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.936450%32 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rutgers54c2,007$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.149443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Maryland Terrapins49c1,959$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.2929249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Maryland Terrapins42c1,869$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.5148546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Maryland Terrapins53c1,602$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.911145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e7c…08a5backed Rutgers54c1,300$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Maryland Terrapins16c1,270$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020039.5%79 W · 121 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Maryland Terrapins49c1,161$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5694247.6%20 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Maryland Terrapins25c1,137$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.4986243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcae9…a216backed Rutgers33c1,050$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+91.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Rutgers56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4402441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked Maryland Terrapins46c998.22$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.182951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…ec2fbacked Maryland Terrapins47c998$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ff…d605backed Maryland Terrapins47c998$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50b5…6b63backed Maryland Terrapins47c998$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcded…6b47backed Maryland Terrapins47c998$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd648…ba9bbacked Maryland Terrapins47c998$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Maryland Terrapins45c956.15$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.6314752.4%77 W · 70 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Maryland Terrapins48c944.02$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.0650358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Maryland Terrapins45c848$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.649253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Maryland Terrapins48c844.59$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.940244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Maryland Terrapins45c778$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.119051.6%98 W · 92 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df0…8f4ebacked Maryland Terrapins45c776.94$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rutgers52c742.86$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.2138450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4b…ab60backed Maryland Terrapins49c714.29$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8166…de1abacked Maryland Terrapins56c649.99$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Rutgers53c586.58$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.441,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b7…e360backed Rutgers44c574.17$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.896065%39 W · 21 L+10.0wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Maryland Terrapins13c532.74$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.754042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Maryland Terrapins32c530.02$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1713625%9 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Maryland Terrapins49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508752.9%46 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Maryland Terrapins46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23011436%41 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Maryland Terrapins49c461$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.8921348.8%104 W · 109 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Rutgers51c405.04$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.7210555.2%58 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Maryland Terrapins46c394.25$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.5654243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Rutgers55c363.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7929351.9%152 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8159…8d5cbacked Rutgers56c357.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.672142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Maryland Terrapins45c330.89$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.911149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…6c82backed Maryland Terrapins45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b9…b9f1backed Rutgers55c280$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13ec…d899backed Maryland Terrapins45c280$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Maryland Terrapins47c267.51$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7326846.3%124 W · 144 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Maryland Terrapins46c258.3$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.91944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb9d…b033backed Maryland Terrapins46c242.84$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.713650%18 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Maryland Terrapins40c235.93$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.373616.7%6 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x455f…c513backed Rutgers55c235$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc11e…5f27backed Maryland Terrapins45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Maryland Terrapins46c218.41$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5626939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c11…c747backed Maryland Terrapins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Maryland Terrapins46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed Maryland Terrapins49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986031.7%19 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…1323backed Maryland Terrapins48c191.84$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.461030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-59.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb83d…628cbacked Maryland Terrapins45c187$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Maryland Terrapins48c186.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7521629.2%63 W · 153 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c78…13bbbacked Rutgers55c186$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x987b…a633backed Rutgers55c186$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5885…81efbacked Rutgers55c185$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b4…c242backed Maryland Terrapins45c185$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Rutgers55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8214836.5%54 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd7e…0be3backed Maryland Terrapins11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-58.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Maryland Terrapins38c178.97$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3311844.1%52 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Rutgers56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5716044.4%71 W · 89 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3513…c19dbacked Maryland Terrapins46c170.64$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.772334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.