College Football · resolved market
Spread: Rutgers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x746379bf30cbabbe518afdef194635d663e10f9018de4b91e08c16dda6b8c71f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rutgersof Rutgers, Maryland Terrapins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Maryland Terrapins | 51c | 66,504$34,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,212.37 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Maryland Terrapins | 53c | 23,870$12,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,650.23 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Rutgers | 48c | 23,859$11,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,407.58 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Rutgers | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Rutgers | 49c | 12,222$5,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,233.22 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rutgers | 47c | 11,295$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,975.31 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rutgers | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,240 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Rutgers | 49c | 5,190$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rutgers | 47c | 5,068$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.26 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rutgers | 48c | 3,600$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.41 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Rutgers | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2092…b6d8backed Rutgers | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…dd8fbacked Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 550$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf050…91debacked Rutgers | 48c | 549.95$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba47…c25dbacked Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…0674backed Rutgers | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Rutgers | 47c | 453$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.04 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Rutgers | 47c | 362.3$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.3 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rutgers | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rutgers | 48c | 287.21$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97e…0b97backed Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb281…f47ebacked Rutgers | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Maryland Terrapins | 55c | 239.86$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.86 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rutgers | 47c | 110.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Rutgers | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Maryland Terrapins | 54c | 71.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 67.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…b033backed Maryland Terrapins | 53c | 66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Rutgers | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…6914backed Maryland Terrapins | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…0a46backed Maryland Terrapins | 54c | 23.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rutgers (-2.5)this page
- Maryland Terrapins vs. RutgersRutgers won
- Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers: O/U 57.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.