La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c8343a299e9e79eb11194d5f2452024572e696d890f7fe1100155de5ddcd706
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed No | 54c | 1,900$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.34 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed No | 3c | 1,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 6cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 45c | 999$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.45 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…05ddbacked No | 55c | 908$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 877.37$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.19 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 32c | 732.96$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.63 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 44c | 580.71$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.3 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked No | 53c | 570$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked No | 57c | 522.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 46c | 496.15$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.49 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 52c | 299.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 35c | 286$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.9 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Yes | 47c | 250$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Yes | 42c | 232.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.7 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Yes | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 42c | 215$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.4 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 48c | 143.36$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.61 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed No | 53c | 130.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…761dbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…1418backed No | 60c | 89.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 44c | 88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed No | 57c | 76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed No | 53c | 66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 48c | 63.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 50c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Yes | 44c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yes | 46c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 48c | 51.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…c0fabacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 51c | 49.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Yes | 46c | 47.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed No | 57c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 46c | 43.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…427fbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ea…5595backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9784…e452backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 44cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 44c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…378bbacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Yes | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Yes | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed No | 56c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked No | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked No | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed No | 53c | 23.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 44c | 22.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked No | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Valencia CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.