Champions League · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59485fe765c3dea7974a412606dc154dbb29b77dc014b0a79cf9857c8c100a09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 490.1$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.02 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 50c | 340.2$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.44 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 52c | 235$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 210$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 40c | 174.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 60c | 131.33$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 54c | 101.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 40c | 87.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 22c | 87.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 59c | 86.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 68.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed Yes | 47c | 59.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 53c | 54.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…427fbacked Yes | 60c | 51.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sporting CP vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sporting CP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.