Champions League · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a93ade88b47abbd08d68f24ec70617e41dfb4348ac8d98f01d2accb4c35b451
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 1,895$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.98 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 53c | 1,764$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.73 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 1,166$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.64 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 36c | 999.98$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 900.11$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.05 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 69c | 774.05$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.51 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Over | 65c | 494.74$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.74 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 37c | 443.97$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.27 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Over | 64c | 437.5$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Over | 65c | 308.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf537…8d55backed Over | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Over | 64c | 123.13$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…a407backed Under | 13c | 108.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 37c | 88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…d8cabacked Over | 64c | 82.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 36c | 66.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 64c | 59.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Under | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 37c | 34.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…0e62backed Over | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 51c | 19.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x855b…8dd0backed Over | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5this page
- Sporting CP vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sporting CP vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sporting CP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.