TailMyPicks
Market

Champions League · resolved market

SSC Napoli vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,258
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,258 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x42a8…81f5backed Yes63c1,592$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No38c1,169$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.9330657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No39c1,092$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.5517426.4%46 W · 128 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63012354.5%67 W · 56 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf763…414fbacked Yes64c483.07$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3111513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick41cpaid-71.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c472.07$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.32,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes62c462.5$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.666154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa19…fb67backed No37c420.03$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.864647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No36c333$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.1219150.3%96 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80b6…ebb8backed Yes62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1861163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6896…3682backed No39c279.6$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.43616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-57.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad10…c665backed Yes61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150825%2 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-63.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes62c198.77$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.23911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.28per pick40cpaid-85.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes61c170$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.211645.7%53 W · 63 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74b4…b283backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick62cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008051.3%41 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No34c139.95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.371758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1feb…bdc1backed No39c110$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.12231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed No39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+48.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes60c97$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.29547.4%45 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No25c82.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.551877%13 W · 174 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503652.8%19 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe75f…2687backed No40c75.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.231145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No25c57.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.189857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x618f…26d1backed Yes61c54.61$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Yes72c52.96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.912763%17 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x897d…90c9backed Yes61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51816.7%3 W · 15 L-5.5wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-52.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No73c47.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1317348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1e…b58bbacked Yes61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9714…3014backed Yes60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c6…401fbacked Yes64c39.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe64b…9e97backed Yes73c36.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4240%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4555…7209backed Yes61c34.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e0e…1512backed Yes62c33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.462152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe391…b6eabacked Yes61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe18c…5bc3backed Yes61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Yes62c32.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.154969.4%34 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc3f…753cbacked Yes75c32.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7db1…2941backed Yes61c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.31136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x134c…427fbacked Yes69c29.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid+19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0291…7cd5backed Yes61c28.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3501…0591backed Yes61c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.251741.2%7 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfeea…d48bbacked Yes61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x844b…2580backed Yes68c22.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick57cpaid-48.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3171…0e8abacked Yes74c21.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd76…fdf3backed Yes61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2825%2 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-63.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes59c17.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.259150.5%46 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.