Champions League · resolved market
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15814cfeb80647c970e92909e2aa89a636f1230289010f0f85fc384490290d4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eintracht Frankfurtof SSC Napoli, Eintracht Frankfurt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 64c | 3,826$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.21 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed SSC Napoli | 36c | 2,999$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.73 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed SSC Napoli | 37c | 999.28$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.73 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked SSC Napoli | 38c | 795.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 62c | 578.03$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.33 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 63c | 332.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 63c | 299.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked SSC Napoli | 34c | 149.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked SSC Napoli | 27c | 146.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…0319backed SSC Napoli | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed SSC Napoli | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…2bc1backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 66c | 92.18$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 61c | 85.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…4a59backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed SSC Napoli | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed SSC Napoli | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed SSC Napoli | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed SSC Napoli | 35c | 38.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked SSC Napoli | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed9…2deebacked SSC Napoli | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…d867backed SSC Napoli | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…6df5backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 63c | 24.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)this page
- SSC Napoli vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SSC Napoli vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.