Champions League · resolved market
SSC Napoli vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56076858f618d7527d23258d64cd47a795cb8e89a819ec2995353e49dc88a260
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 20,259$12,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,481.41 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.87 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Over | 40c | 7,569$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.96 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 60c | 3,506$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.47 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 59c | 3,502$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.22 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Over | 43c | 3,000$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.6 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Under | 60c | 1,750$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 56c | 1,732$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.23 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Over | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Over | 37c | 999.98$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Over | 41c | 919$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 41c | 734.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Under | 60c | 636.31$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.26 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 64c | 620$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.2 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Under | 60c | 542.56$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Over | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 60c | 444$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 46c | 414$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.65 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked Over | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Over | 38c | 350$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Under | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 40c | 300.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.08 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2791backed Under | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 63c | 271.43$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Under | 64c | 195.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Over | 37c | 126$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6544…4b74backed Over | 40c | 123.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37c…189abacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1973…9fb5backed Over | 40c | 95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 36c | 79.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Under | 66c | 69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 61c | 50.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 40c | 50.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Over | 38c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 40c | 46.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 38c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…c110backed Over | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…8fc8backed Under | 62c | 40.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Over | 26c | 39.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c1…1fc1backed Over | 40c | 34.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…4aa1backed Under | 66c | 31.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Under | 73c | 26.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Over | 40c | 25.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc410…7688backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Under | 63c | 22.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…a24abacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x213c…618ebacked Under | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SSC Napoli vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5this page
- SSC Napoli vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.