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Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$360,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$340,513

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,419 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes32c28,109$8,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,979.025324.5%13 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes11c20,182$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,220.0211838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes12c19,714$2,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,363.821,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes12c16,686$2,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,053.11,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes18c11,786$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10022125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44db…4950backed Yes11c10,852$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.6950%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Yes11c9,255$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.081040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No55c8,125$4,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,664.2329253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7fa…b1d3backed Yes11c7,989$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No59c7,314$4,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,969.691,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes12c6,250$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505841.4%24 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes12c6,211$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.279111%10 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes24c4,097$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.324,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes12c4,050$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48668026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes13c3,999$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.8813727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Yes13c3,904$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes32c3,232$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.0367042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ca3…590fbacked Yes12c3,117$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.527742.9%33 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Yes11c2,431$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.45944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Yes11c2,401$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.112763%17 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes9c2,157$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1908958.4%52 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes12c1,933$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9636845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No44c1,821$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.1911162.2%69 W · 42 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ed3…a8dbbacked Yes11c1,820$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes11c1,800$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes12c1,665$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.767230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes62c1,513$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9389846.9%46 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes10c1,363$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2915344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Yes58c1,341$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes12c1,300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1568742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed No48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6505745.6%26 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb30…302abacked No42c1,181$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.571827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-49.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x813e…5ed9backed Yes11c1,091$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201650%8 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+44.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes12c1,087$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.410345.6%47 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x840a…8fc8backed Yes11c1,083$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+58.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bd5…8971backed Yes56c1,077$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+171.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1cf…ce69backed Yes10c1,038$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd87…01a9backed Yes13c989.23$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.23330.3%10 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Yes11c985.25$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6537036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Yes11c926.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008632.6%28 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes12c908.33$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1097841%32 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a07…ce91backed Yes9c900$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked No48c836$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.722665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+51%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c71…23dcbacked Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-67.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18d…f783backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-59%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3556…b80fbacked Yes12c831.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aca…f4c3backed Yes12c823.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.91127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x410a…0060backed Yes11c818.18$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb392…28a5backed Yes12c786.67$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924022.5%9 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Yes64c773.44$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4951464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No74c759.08$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.531,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x508e…648bbacked Yes13c758.7$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.221637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d4…2037backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-62%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No69c710.64$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.369772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes14c708.71$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.222030%6 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+51.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4a2…4a13backed Yes54c648.15$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes12c637.41$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes51c633.74$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.0417744.1%78 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No71c616.21$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.1651542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9929…0b40backed Yes11c588$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.68714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes7c559.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.55614.3%8 W · 48 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yes63c558.05$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.575543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes11c553.64$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.922932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b6…df1bbacked Yes12c544.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.362133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes55c529.53$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.1420239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No48c525.44$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.421,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No43c513.95$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.9524349%119 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked No39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8214138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5511923.5%28 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5544036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed No43c465.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.2322534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd9…49f6backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x922d…ec32backed Yes11c450$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes43c447.95$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1928040%32 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes52c446$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.0222458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26b4…bef9backed Yes11c446$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Yes11c445$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.95540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes11c440.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No44c439.13$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.119238%35 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ea…21e1backed Yes12c428.18$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.863740.5%15 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes11c418.3$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.015151%26 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87f7…94e7backed Yes12c400.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3185…937abacked Yes8c392.91$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes13c392.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5529…86d2backed Yes53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005151%26 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb36…7afbbacked Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x680b…276abacked No70c366.23$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.154250%21 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6a…7f9cbacked Yes11c360$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed Yes11c356.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.172133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes11c355.24$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0817745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Yes11c341.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363132.3%10 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No75c339.57$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4313249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff9b…9b1fbacked Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-41.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8035…eb6abacked Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403724.3%9 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes9c333$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.977429.7%22 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.16per pick13cpaid+125%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.