Premier League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ae273bfd2d2c8b40033a97bdb3096b3c8932ebc1f235fbf3ecf21faf13320a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 55c | 10,324$5,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650.99 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 77c | 8,000$6,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,160 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 25c | 7,200$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,375.98 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 31c | 3,982$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.84 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 3,775$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.42 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.84 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 78c | 2,741$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.17 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Under | 1c | 2,701$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 2,624$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.89 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 31c | 2,592$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.48 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 31c | 2,309$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.14 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 32c | 2,274$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.32 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 1,690$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 19c | 1,503$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.12 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7411…a2adbacked Over | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.12 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 31c | 1,056$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.7 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02e9…9a18backed Under | 70c | 847.14$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +217.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 47c | 750$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 33c | 710$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.9 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 68c | 697.74$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.18 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Under | 5c | 680$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 42c | 626$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 33c | 595.48$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.32 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 69c | 507.25$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 4c | 310.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Under | 65c | 307.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 304.18$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.15 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Under | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 69c | 266$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.54 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 68c | 259.78$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.77 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Under | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 30c | 252.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.96 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…652dbacked Under | 70c | 228.57$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 66c | 218.91$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.48 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…f0adbacked Under | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…0493backed Over | 40c | 180$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 38c | 131.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c0…c158backed Under | 80c | 123.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Over | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 68c | 101.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…3f17backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed Under | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 53c | 94.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 15c | 90$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 88.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 68c | 81.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over | 21c | 76.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 71c | 65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 30c | 58.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Under | 68c | 57.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 69c | 57.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Under | 77c | 52.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 36c | 44.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Under | 69c | 44.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 34c | 44.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Over | 24c | 41.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd943…862ebacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…5b32backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcf…47ddbacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 40c | 29.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…2b01backed Under | 67c | 29.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Under | 70c | 28.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +10.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8225…c0b9backed Under | 68c | 18.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.