Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3821948d2838644ec6f8101baea73846f63489226af570b85831864ef57c497e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chelsea FCof Chelsea FC, Crystal Palace FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf05e…429abacked Chelsea FC | 16c | 6,148$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,164.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Crystal Palace FC | 76c | 3,654$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.27 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Chelsea FC | 25c | 2,686$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.71 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Chelsea FC | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Crystal Palace FC | 75c | 2,019$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.43 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Crystal Palace FC | 74c | 1,787$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.53 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…83c5backed Chelsea FC | 23c | 920$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Chelsea FC | 28c | 885.15$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.15 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Chelsea FC | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Chelsea FC | 24c | 445.67$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.71 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Chelsea FC | 24c | 390.13$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.5 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Crystal Palace FC | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c9…b733backed Crystal Palace FC | 77c | 360$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Crystal Palace FC | 72c | 346$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.67 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Crystal Palace FC | 75c | 318.53$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.35 | 2,606 | 47.7%1,242 W · 1,364 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…13cfbacked Crystal Palace FC | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Chelsea FC | 36c | 297$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.08 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Crystal Palace FC | 71c | 284$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.64 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Chelsea FC | 24c | 270.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.83 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b467backed Crystal Palace FC | 77c | 260$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chelsea FC | 70c | 246.83$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.29 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Chelsea FC | 26c | 217$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.58 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Crystal Palace FC | 78c | 204.03$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c30…7320backed Chelsea FC | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Chelsea FC | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Crystal Palace FC | 75c | 170$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Chelsea FC | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Crystal Palace FC | 74c | 160$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Crystal Palace FC | 75c | 152$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 986 | 45.6%450 W · 536 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Chelsea FC | 26c | 152$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.89 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Chelsea FC | 47c | 128.47$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.72 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Chelsea FC | 25c | 128.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Chelsea FC | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Chelsea FC | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26d…a951backed Chelsea FC | 24c | 101.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Crystal Palace FC | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Crystal Palace FC | 71c | 98.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Chelsea FC | 23c | 97.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.71 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Crystal Palace FC | 76c | 89.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Chelsea FC | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Crystal Palace FC | 77c | 77.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…36a7backed Chelsea FC | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Chelsea FC | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Chelsea FC | 24c | 62.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…191dbacked Chelsea FC | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Crystal Palace FC | 78c | 53.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Chelsea FC | 64c | 52.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 892 | 52.9%472 W · 420 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Chelsea FC | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…1cefbacked Crystal Palace FC | 76c | 45.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…4775backed Chelsea FC | 35c | 44.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed Crystal Palace FC | 73c | 41.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -85%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Crystal Palace FC | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e60…dfb6backed Crystal Palace FC | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Crystal Palace FC | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…76c9backed Crystal Palace FC | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…7351backed Crystal Palace FC | 77c | 15.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -8.3wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Crystal Palace FC | 76c | 13.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.