TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$531,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$540,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $531,553 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Over54c402,767$217,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185,515.632347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under46c150,000$69,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,00024846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Under46c142,000$65,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,320.033946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under46c67,463$31,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,033.085651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c29,224$14,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,494.486,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over56c20,540$11,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,037.419253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Under64c18,240$11,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,683.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over43c12,999$5,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,379.245936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Under47c12,500$5,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8501758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under46c9,999$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.5416851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under47c6,000$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7905949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under45c5,900$2,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6381,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under47c4,335$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.6419239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under47c4,255$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over52c4,178$2,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.2845751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over53c3,939$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.3216651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3807929.1%23 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under43c2,360$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.5425752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under47c2,345$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.1533057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c2,119$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.012,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Over54c1,465$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.812948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over54c1,406$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.483231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf46e…d15ebacked Under46c1,326$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under47c1,155$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.8572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Under47c999.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4707147.9%34 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Over70c937$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.997548%36 W · 39 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a9a…c308backed Over52c900.81$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.442373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Under47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001963.2%12 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+52.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over71c800$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2322259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Under47c744.68$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over38c642.93$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.732,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011346%52 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over51c582.11$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.282,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under47c531$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5717327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Over53c460.38$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.3811443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over55c428.77$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.361,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under50c427$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.3296445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ab…ff89backed Under53c377.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over38c354$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.4211549.6%57 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under34c349$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.661,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under45c320.94$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6633753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c315.79$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.144,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14430149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1413961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under47c292.56$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.078038.8%31 W · 49 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under44c282.48$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2819357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over45c268$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.461441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over54c243.01$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.0552454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked Over56c242.45$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.681163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b4f…0019backed Over45c230.73$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.731936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e28…c195backed Over53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+61.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over48c197.95$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.11,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x604b…68e3backed Under41c194.07$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under44c190.57$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8510838.9%42 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over67c184.54$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.768153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505334%18 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under30c150.31$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6143241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.518646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd816…84b9backed Over41c149.49$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.23842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf67…fc18backed Under46c132.61$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6140%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under47c123.4$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5811449.1%56 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Under50c120.01$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.952236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-41.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over50c119.13$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.576462.5%40 W · 24 L+10.8wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+44.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe4e2…f97fbacked Under53c107.27$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5740%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked Over52c105.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.772339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over56c104.95$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.747651.3%39 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508944.9%40 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over57c102.66$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1415353.6%82 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over38c101$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6210124.8%25 W · 76 L-12.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaa05…69e3backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-60.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4737342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5410046%46 W · 54 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb00a…3f17backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over56c99.96$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.986456.3%36 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under45c96.92$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4169742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Under44c91.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.413748.6%18 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Under63c90$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.984557.8%26 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Under29c90$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.17252.8%38 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under29c89.08$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8374056.9%421 W · 319 L+46.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94c0…5b71backed Over50c80.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over52c79$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1919853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over37c77.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0910433.7%35 W · 69 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Under28c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214141.5%17 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa87f…68d1backed Under28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over54c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.218449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…9325backed Under29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204050%20 W · 20 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over53c66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.249346.2%43 W · 50 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x63f4…83a0backed Under47c64.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.14616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-71.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under54c57.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.621,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Over56c56.3$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.782466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c21…6ce6backed Under44c55.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.443650%18 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over53c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8515866.5%105 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…a98bbacked Under47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+41.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531648.7%154 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.