Premier League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8f234d7eae30ea3911d522c30cd2ecc1e182f704b001a36c0d047f8791890f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 2,713$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.23 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 57c | 1,630$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.66 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 42c | 722.51$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.05 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked No | 43c | 662.98$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.9 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 59c | 590.81$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…7506backed Yes | 57c | 456.26$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 45c | 398.89$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.39 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 57c | 385.96$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 43c | 294.13$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.08 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 143.63$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 40c | 142.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.29 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a1…c0babacked Yes | 57c | 122$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…dc70backed Yes | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 114$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 44c | 111.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 47c | 107.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 56c | 99.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Yes | 58c | 96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 58c | 95.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b1…7cf6backed Yes | 60c | 93.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 41c | 90.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 54c | 88.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e1…5612backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c4…2611backed Yes | 59c | 78.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…859fbacked Yes | 57c | 77.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Yes | 59c | 71.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Yes | 58c | 63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Yes | 56c | 61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 40c | 59.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 50c | 59.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 53c | 54.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 44c | 54.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Yes | 56c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4724…5239backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 43c | 45.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…7025backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…b9f6backed Yes | 57c | 40.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9f…a82fbacked No | 45c | 38.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1e83backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x119b…269abacked Yes | 59c | 34.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x726d…b10dbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked No | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 57c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…d342backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked No | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 59c | 28.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 42c | 26.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 58c | 26.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb02…b642backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e6…bf36backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed No | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…84b9backed Yes | 55c | 22.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…501bbacked Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b0…07bfbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…8c89backed Yes | 59c | 19.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.