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Premier League · resolved market

Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$198,711
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$201,576

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,711 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c133,666$69,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,498.483930.8%12 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under48c122,134$58,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,509.74450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c14,168$6,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,968.436,21745.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L-33.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under51c10,416$5,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,103.812466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under51c7,644$3,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,745.524751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50039048.5%189 W · 201 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over50c5,866$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.71,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Over48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.9910148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under54c3,256$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.211,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x678b…beafbacked Over42c2,099$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.982128.6%6 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-48.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.992646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.997929.1%23 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over50c1,983$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under50c1,980$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Under51c1,960$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+91.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Under48c1,800$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9363053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under48c1,699$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.2639156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Over49c1,659$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.911662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over17c1,379$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.475056.5%424 W · 326 L+44.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdba7…4451backed Over50c1,093$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over33c922.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.368925.8%23 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c853.26$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.724,87441.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over49c700$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3431,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011346%52 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under51c570$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.33164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bf5…0144backed Under55c544.02$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.021450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over49c508.16$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-48.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x84f6…e46cbacked Over4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005036%18 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Over51c401.11$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.0510051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-44.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under50c396.15$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.0837342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Under52c384.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.642334.8%8 W · 15 L-5.4wins-0.23per pick58cpaid-37%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020254.5%110 W · 92 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecc2…6d7dbacked Under49c377.84$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Over52c311.54$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-58.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over52c307.69$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16016731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under48c299.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15621839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over47c286.54$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8220931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over51c266.67$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1365048%24 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over51c228.69$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.636747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over49c201.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.971,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over52c200.1$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10419826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ace…bb93backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6b8…3539backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006842.6%29 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59c4…2611backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-3.7wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007635.5%27 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Over29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.857731.2%24 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Under49c199.66$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.833447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18b2…9141backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Over51c196$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.965056%28 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under51c193$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.575650%28 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022348.4%108 W · 115 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over50c190$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959551.6%49 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x369e…d016backed Under58c189.74$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over52c186.12$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.747544%33 W · 42 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over23c168.83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9351542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under56c153.83$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0629041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Under48c149.97$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.993847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa59…dbf6backed Over51c137$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked Under48c128.67$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.912864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Over51c118.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ff0…91fcbacked Under51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.65742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb378…ce53backed Under50c117.58$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under50c117.22$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.61450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bbf…5a09backed Over19c107.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.151428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under64c106.11$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7257744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508851.1%45 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+98%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518440.5%34 W · 50 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489152.7%48 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fae…fb21backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015025.3%38 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2c…9af4backed Over34c96.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2532…228dbacked Over52c94.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06dc…9294backed Under50c85.81$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe371…466abacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035428.5%101 W · 253 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1288…dbbbbacked Under51c77.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Under52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.925554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Over51c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.256269.4%43 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d53…8a3ebacked Under50c70.2$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+77.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cac…f75cbacked Under49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.71457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3529751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed Over50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde68…0d0fbacked Under50c67.47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over50c60.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.66737.3%25 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013951.1%71 W · 68 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over50c59.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over25c59.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8610124.8%25 W · 76 L-12.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked Over51c58.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.95633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.