TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,440
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,440 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c11,463$5,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,218.211,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Over55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50010148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c8,901$4,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,691.064,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over54c6,750$3,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,624.153138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x678b…beafbacked Over46c5,341$2,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.432128.6%6 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-48.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under24c3,425$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,601.676,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Over76c3,252$2,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475.584264.3%27 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c3,230$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.932,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under23c1,500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.9860728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under28c1,478$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.621,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over78c1,282$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009946.5%46 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over79c1,018$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80017161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over77c903.61$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70015263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Under27c727.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.512334.8%8 W · 15 L-5.4wins-0.23per pick58cpaid-37%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over77c649.42$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75dd…171dbacked Over77c649.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004881.3%39 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick76cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Under51c624.61$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.244146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under44c532.16$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.1974056.9%421 W · 319 L+46.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over60c495.76$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2986145.9%28 W · 33 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under22c469.34$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.0939156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under24c469.02$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.4551847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Over26c450$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1152676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+38.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under23c389$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.5372249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f6…e46cbacked Over19c380$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.81241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over39c311.92$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.424134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under50c290.74$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9857744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over47c234$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0843…97f5backed Over76c210.53$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601850%9 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over31c209.66$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3851542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over76c209.31$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16018059.4%107 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over48c208.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf443…f640backed Under55c203.64$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.64650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…81dabacked Over66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15215060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over55c190$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.141160.1%247 W · 164 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under48c188$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0529041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Over75c163$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.252326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.8wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-56.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over76c150$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11423353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…7031backed Over55c143.78$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Over74c136$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.647358.9%43 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under26c126.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.231,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under24c112.43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.491,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5f…fc90backed Under26c102.77$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.77825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776168.9%42 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over26c99.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2632822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed Under26c99.71$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+98%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over12c93.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.411,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2da…6a1dbacked Over76c92$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over39c90.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521143.1%91 W · 120 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over43c88.91$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810361.2%63 W · 40 L+9.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013439.6%53 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over34c87.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3035743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Under51c81.88$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9212245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7802…d5b4backed Over57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.93644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under50c75.37$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8620931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f50…d342backed Over76c74.24$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.421464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502857.1%16 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Over76c69.2$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5410051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Under45c68.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6916634.9%58 W · 108 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over45c62.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286245.2%28 W · 34 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe64b…9e97backed Over76c61.05$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedad…ed92backed Over76c53.86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.931850%9 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked Over75c53.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.991442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under45c50.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2918139.2%71 W · 110 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under73c50.02$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4242862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Under26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.152462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae63…5e2dbacked Over43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0187…161cbacked Under80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c2…6784backed Over76c47.95$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.61758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2355254.5%301 W · 251 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under61c44.41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1389152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Over46c43.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x450f…9479backed Over62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.961675%12 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cc7…265ebacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under37c35.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3158445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over60c33.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.992867.9%19 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over76c32.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517759.9%106 W · 71 L-16.7wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over66c30.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206056.7%34 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3501…0591backed Over76c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over63c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.914845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bbf…5a09backed Over50c29.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.691428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over75c29.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8414456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf3…af49backed Over58c24.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over76c22.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1713450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb447…8582backed Over75c21.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.08933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-53.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x163c…2af1backed Over75c20.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over76c20.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.515866.5%105 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2c…9af4backed Over50c20.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2bf…ceeabacked Over75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151450%7 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf9a…2357backed Over76c15.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.871020%2 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-70.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Over75c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2510656.6%60 W · 46 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd283…51ecbacked Over77c14.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.031136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.